Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Welcome to what has quickly become my favorite article to write! A single-entry guide to each week, which mixes evergreen thoughts with slate-specific thoughts about both strategy and individual plays. I’ll be heavily referencing our contest sims and GPP Scores, but I also recommend revisiting (or checking out) our Contest Selection 101 article for a reminder of how we want to attack single entry contests in the first place (hint — aggressively).
If I had to summarize in one sentence how you should approach lineup building in general, but especially for SE contests, it’s this — stop asking if a decision is something you can do and start making sure each decision is something you should do.
Every week, I get questions in Discord like “Can I play Anthony Richardson naked?” or “Can I play both Detroit RBs?” etc. etc. The word “can” carries a lot of weight here. Suboptimally built lineups can win, and they do. But they don’t win as often as optimally built lineups. So that’s our goal — to build lineups with as high a probability of success as we possibly can. This article is about how I plan to do just that in Week 18.
Single-Entry Stacks for Week 18
Goodness gracious, this week is a mess. It would be hard enough if all we had to do was figure out who would be playing on offense for each team, but we also need to figure out which key pass rushers or corners will rest. Or, we can focus on the spots that we know are great, regardless. In any case, there are two potential stacks that I can currently see myself building around this week.
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