Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
The Week 13 Black Friday game features a battle of the AFC West with the Raiders taking on the Chiefs in Kansas City. Let’s take a look at my favorite same game parlay for this game.
Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs
(Chiefs -12.5, O/U, 42.5, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Travis Kelce 4 Receptions and 25 Receiving Yards
- At least 4 receptions and 30 receiving yards in seven out of 10 (63.6%) games, averaging 6.2 grabs on eight targets for 53.1 yards.
- At least 4 receptions and 62 receiving yards in six out of eight (75%) games with Rashee Rice out or playing less than five snaps, averaging 7.5 receptions on 9.5 targets for 64.4 yards.
- Team-high 90.4% route participation rate and 21.6% target share.
- The Raiders are 26th in DVOA against the pass (18.2%) and 28th against tight ends (28.9%), tied for the fifth-most receptions (5.7) and sixth-most receiving yards (61.5) allowed per game to the position.
- Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, tight ends see a 28% boost in production against Las Vegas, the third-highest rate in the league.
- 10 catches on 12 targets for 58 yards against the Raiders in Week 8.
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