Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Looking to scratch an action itch? You bet we got you covered. Every day our ravenous bettors scour the web for their favorite player props to boost the bankroll. Today’s featured line comes from ‘The Big Noise’ himself, Brad Evans.
Prop: Joe Burrow OVER 21.5 passing touchdowns (-110, DraftKings)
That beeping sound you hear is a Brinks truck backing up. This wager is worth at least four moneybag emojis for multiple reasons:
- A modern-day Joe Cool, Burrow is an otherworldly talent coming off a historic season And not for Savannah St., but rather the national champ LSU Tigers. He tallied a 60:6 TD:INT split averaging 12.5 air yards per attempt while ranking No. 2 among all FBS passers in adjusted completion percentage. He also ranked No. 1 in completed air yards and posted gaudy passer ratings on short (122.9), intermediate (136.8) and deep throws (130.9).
- The cupboard is far from bare in Cincinnati. Yes, A.J. Green would probably rupture a tendon playing checkers, but he’s healthy and motivated to regain his form. Pair him with highly reliable slot man Tyler Boyd and Joe Mixon, and the needle for Burrow points up.
- Cincinnati’s defense has miles to travel to recapture any form of respectability. Last season, it ranked No. 25 in points per game (26.3) and No. 29 in total yards per game (393.7) allowed. An overly generous unit means Burrow could average well north of 30 pass attempts per game. More opportunities mean more chances to throw TD passes, whether in garbage time or not.
Bottom line, 11 first-year signal callers have eclipsed 22 passing TDs in a season, with Daniel Jones the latest in 2019. Given Burrow’s all-world skill set and environment, he’s a likely candidate to add his name to the list.
