Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Looking to scratch that action itch? You bet we got you covered. Everyday our ravenous bettors scour the web for their favorite player props to boost the bankroll. Today’s featured line comes from ‘The Big Noise’ himself, Brad Evans.
Prop: Allen Robinson OVER 1050.5 receiving yards (-110, DraftKings)
That beeping sound you hear is a Brinks truck backing up. This wager is worth at least four moneybag emojis for multiple reasons: 
- Nick Foles — by all accounts the likely starter for Chicago Week 1 at Detroit — is quite possibly the best quarterback Robinson has played with, whether in college or the pros. Here’s his signal caller lineage: Matt McGloin, Christian Hackenberg, Chad Henne, Blake Bortles, Mitchell Trubisky and Chase Daniel. Poor bastard. Foles isn’t a world beater (QB20 in adjusted completion percentage in 2019), but at least he’s serviceable. Expect the wideout to improve on his WR56 catchable target percentage standing this fall.
- The Bears, outside adding to their hilarious stockpile of tight ends ($9 million guaranteed to Jimmy Graham? Really?!), didn't bring in much target competition. Robinson, thrown to 153 times in 2019, will again pump up the volume. In the end, 90-plus catches at 1,200 yards are entirely attainable, barring injury.
- Most importantly, Robinson isn’t some advanced stats Care Bear. In actuality, he’s a ferocious grizzly who mauls the competition. According to Matt Harmon’s #ReceptionPerception, Robinson recorded positive success rates versus man, zone, double and press coverages in ‘19. He also ranked No. 5 in contested catch percentage, No. 6 in completed air yards and No. 7 in total red-zone targets.
Bottom line, Robinson is a money maker. Plunk down a few buckaroos on the OVER and your odds of cashing in December are substantial.
