Prime-Time Props — Week 17 Saturday Game (ARI/LAR)

The Week 17 Saturday same-game parlay features an NFC West divisional matchup with the Cardinals taking on the Rams in Los Angeles.

Let’s take a look at my bet.

Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams

At least 4 receptions and 30 receiving yards in 11 out of 14 (78.6%) games, averaging 6.6 grabs on 8.6 targets for 68.4 yards.
Team-high 26.1% target share when active.
Six catches on six targets for 67 yards against the Rams in Week 2.
The Rams are 23rd in DVOA against the pass (11%)
Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, tight ends see a 3% boost in production against the Rams.

At least 3 receptions and 39 receiving yards in nine out of 15 (60%) averaging 3.4 grabs 6.7 targets for 48.4 yards.
Team-high 42.5% air yard share.
Four receptions on eight targets for a career-high 130 yards against the Rams in Week 2, leading the team with a 36.4% target share and 70.1% air yard share.
The Rams are 23rd in DVOA against the pass (11%)
Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, WR1s see a 12% boost in production against the Rams, the seventh-highest rate in the league.

At least 35 receiving yards in nine out of 10 (90%) games, averaging 6.9 grabs on 9.2 targets for 86.1 yards.
At least 56 receiving yards in all eight games playing at least 40% of the offensive snaps, averaging eight grabs on 10.5 targets for 101.9 yards.
Team-high 33.1% target share and 37.3% air yard share when playing at least 40% of the offensive snaps.
The Cardinals are 17th in DVOA against the pass (7.6%).
79.1 rating on the WR/CB Matchup Tool, the third highest among all receivers in Week 17, facing Sean Murphy-Bunting as the primary defender.

At least 24 receiving yards in nine out of 11 (81.8%) games, averaging six grabs on 8.8 targets for 61.9 yards.
Team-high 25.5% target share when active.
Four receptions on six targets for 37 yards against the Cardinals in Week 2, leading the team with a 18.8% target share despite playing only 51.9% of the offensive snaps.
The Cardinals are 17th in DVOA against the pass (7.6%) and 24th against WR2s (9.5%).

(-125, Bet365)