NBA Best Bets of the Day (12/3)
Alex Christenson
Tonight’s Monday Night showdown is headlined by the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs, who are looking to stay perfect and are entering Week 9 as the last remaining unbeaten team in the NFL. They are massive 9.5-point favorites at home and are taking on a Buccaneers offense ravaged by injuries that will be without both of their top two wide receivers. Cade Otton and Rachaad White have benefited the most in the absence of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, and that duo will be critical for tonight’s SGP.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Kansas City Chiefs
(Chiefs -9.5, O/U 45.5, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Cade Otton 4+ Receptions & 20+ Receiving Yards
- Six-plus receptions and 44-plus receiving yards in four out of the last six games (66.7%%), averaging 5.8 grabs on 7.8 targets for 56.5 yards during that span.
- Team-high 95.3% route participation rate, first in the NFL among all tight ends.
- 10-plus targets, eight-plus receptions and over 80 receiving yards in each of the last two games with Mike Evans out or playing less than 30% of the offensive snaps, leading the team with a 20.4% target share in Weeks 7-8.
- Season-high nine receptions on 10 targets for 81 yards and two touchdowns in the first and only game without Chris Godwin last week.
- The Chiefs allow a league-high seven receptions and 80.9 receiving yards on the second-most targets (8.7) per game to opposing tight ends.
- Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, tight ends receive a +33% boost in production against Kansas City, the fourth-highest rate in the league.
Travis Kelce 3+ Receptions & 20+ Receiving Yards
- Three-plus receptions and 30-plus receiving yards in five out of seven games (71.4%) averaging 5.4 grabs on 6.9 targets for 47.9 yards.
- Team-high 91.8% route participation rate and 20.3% target share.
- Nine-plus targets, seven-plus receptions and 70-plus receiving yards in three out of four games (75%) with Rashee Rice out or playing less than 8% of the offensive snaps, averaging 7.5 grabs on 9 targets for 66.5 yards, leading the team and all tight ends with a 26% target share during that span.
- Season-high in targets (12), receptions (10) and receiving yards (90) in the first and only game with DeAndre Hopkins last week.
- The Buccaneers are 30th in DVOA against right ends (32%), allowing the third-most receiving yards (64.8) per game to the position.
- Per the DVOA-Adjusted Fantasy Points Against Tool, tight ends receive a +9% boost in production against Tampa Bay, the 11th-highest rate in the league.
Rachaad White 2+ Receptions
- Two-plus receptions in six out of seven games (85.7%), averaging four grabs on 4.4 targets.
- Six-plus targets and five-plus receptions in each of the last two games with Mike Evans out or playing less than 30% of offensive snaps, seeing a 12.2% target share during that span.
- Five receptions on six targets in the first and only game without Chris Godwin last week.
Same-Game Parlay
