Bettings
article-picture
article-picture
NFL
Bets

Prime-Time Props – Monday Night Football, Week 4 (TEN at MIA)

Share
Contents
Close

Week 4 brings us our second straight Monday football doubleheader. The Tennessee Titans will travel to Miami to take on the Dolphins, and the Seattle Seahawks will head to Detroit to take on the Lions. For our plays, we’ll focus on the Titans and Dolphins matchup.

Week 4 Monday Night Football Same-Game Parlay (TEN @ MIA)

Tyreek Hill 25 Receiving Yards

Hill has had 25 or more receiving yards in 28 of his last 30 games. The Dolphins’ playmakers are getting depressed lines on their props due to their quarterback situation. Tyler Huntley will start under center for Miami. He’s no All-Pro player, but he is more serviceable at the position than Skylar Thompson, who started for Miami last week. Hill leads the Dolphins receivers in target share at (19.3%) and receiving yards (194).

Jaylen Waddle 3+ Receptions

Waddle has cleared this number in 18 of his last 20 games, including all three games of this season. Waddle is second among Dolphins receivers in route participation (70.6%). I expect Mike McDaniel to find unique ways to get his speedy receivers open for Huntley, putting Waddle in positions to rack up receptions in the quick passing game.

Jonnu Smith 2+ Receptions

Smith is leading all Miami tight ends in route participation (52.1%), target share (10.1%) and yards (78). The volume should stay consistent for Smith, and Huntley has a history of targeting his tight ends. Smith has exceeded this number in two straight games and is averaging four targets per game this season.

De’Von Achane 3+ Receptions

Achane has been the dominant receiver out of the backfield for the Dolphins. He ranks second on the team in target share at 16% and leads the team in receptions per game with (5.7 RPG). The Titans are allowing four catches per game to opposing running backs this season, and Achane has had at least three receptions in 15 of his last 20 games.

Tony Pollard 2+ Receptions

Tony Pollard has the second-highest target share for the Titans through the first three weeks at (12.8%), averaging 3.7 receptions per game. Pollard has had at least two receptions in each game this season and has exceeded this number in 16 out of 20 games dating back to last year. Though the Titans have a split backfield, Pollard has outsnapped Tyjae Spears with a 64.9% snap share compared to only 36.8% for Spears.

Best Bet

Tyreek Hill 25+ Receiving Yards
Jaylen Waddle 3+ Receptions
De’Von Achane 2+ Receptions
Jonnu Smith 2+ Receptions
Tony Pollard 2+ Receptions

SGP Odds: +384, FanDuel Sportsbook 

Tune in LIVE at 7 p.m. ET to FTN’s Live Monday Night Football Betting Show, Trenches.

Previous Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 4 Next MLB Postseason Preview: FTN Model American League Wild Card Series Projections and Odds