Prime-Time Props – Monday Night Football, Week 1

The first week of prime-time games has not disappointed, with all three coming down to the wire and decided by a single possession. To wrap up Week 1, Aaron Rodgers and the Jets are again featured on Monday night, this time in a tough matchup at San Francisco against the Super Bowl runner-ups.

Here are the top props I’m looking at for tonight’s marquee Monday Night Football game.

All odds courtesy of Bet365.

Brock Purdy 150+ Passing Yards

• 175+ passing yards in 26 out of 27 career games logging 5+ dropbacks (96.3%), including playoffs
• 267.5 passing yards per game in the 2023 regular season (17 games) despite averaging just 27.8 dropbacks, leading the NFL in yards per attempt (9.6)

Deebo Samuel 25+ Receiving Yards

• 67 receiving yards per game logging double-digit snaps with Brock Purdy in the 2023 regular season (13 games)
• 30+ receiving yards in 12 out of 13 regular season games logging double-digit snaps with Purdy under center last season (92.3%)

Garrett Wilson 4+ Receptions & 25+ Receiving Yards

• 9.3 targets, 5.2 receptions and 62.9 receiving yards per game since entering the NFL in 2022 (34 games)
• League-leader in routes run (666) and air yards share last season (45.63%), trailing only Davante Adams in target share (31.34%) and WOPR (78.96)
• 4+ receptions & 30+ receiving yards in 11 out of 17 games last season (64.7%), despite seeing the second-most targets deemed as uncatchable per PFF

Breece Hall 25+ Rushing Yards

• 73.5 rushing yards per game logging double-digit carries since entering the NFL in 2022 (16 games)
• 25+ rushing yards in 12 out of 16 career games logging double-digit carries (75%)
• Second among all qualified players in yards after contact per carry last season (3.4)

Christian McCaffrey 10+ Rushing Attempts

• 17.4 rush attempts per game last season including the playoffs (19 games)
• 10+ rush attempts in 100% of games including the playoffs last season (19/19 games)
• The Jets ranked 29th in DVOA against the rush last season (1.9%), allowing the third-most carries (25.1) and rushing yards (110.5) per game to opposing backfields

SF 49ers +7.5 Match Spread

• -3.5 to -4 point favorites at home
• 84% win percentage with a 21-4 record including playoffs with Brock Purdy taking the majority of snaps under center, dating back to Week 13 of the 2022 season against Miami (12/04/22)
• Second overall in team DVOA (39.4%) and first on offense (32.8%) last season, ranking inside the top 10 all-time in both categories since charting began in 1981
• The Jets ranked 25th in DVOA (-12.5%) and 32nd on offense (-16.9%) last season