Prime-Time Props — Friday Night Football, Week 1

The NFL is finally back, with the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs coming out victorious in one of the more exciting season openers Thursday night, narrowly holding off the Ravens’ late-game surge in a 27-20 win.

Going forward, we’ll be giving out our favorite same-game parlay for all the prime-time games as a fun way to get some action down on the island games and build a bankroll. In this article, I’ll be breaking down my favorite SGP in the first-ever Brazil game featuring the Eagles and the Packers.

Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles (Brazil)

(Eagles -2.5, O/U 49.5, FanDuel Sportsbook)

A.J. Brown 4+ Receptions and 25+ Receiving Yards

• At least 4 receptions for 25 yards in 34 out of 37 games for Philly with a 20%-plus snap share with Philly including the playoffs (91.9%).
• At least 4 receptions for 25 yards in 16 out of 17 games with a 20%-plus snap share last year (94.2%).
• Team-high 31% target share, 26% target per route run rate and 44% air yard share logging a 20%-plus snap share last season.
• The Packers ranked 27th in DVOA on defense (8.2%), 28th against the pass (17.8%) and 26th against opposing WR1s (16.6%) last season.

DeVonta Smith 4+ Receptions and 25+ Receiving Yards

• At least 4 receptions for 25 yards in 30 out of 36 games including playoffs since acquiring A.J. Brown at the start of the 2022 season (83.3%).
• At least 4 receptions for 25 yards in 14 out of 16 games last season (87.5%).
• 24% target share, 19% target per route run rate and 35% air yard share including playoffs, trailing only Brown last season.
• The Packers allowed the second-most targets (6.7) and sixth-most receiving yards (52.2) per game to opposing WR2s last season.