The last game ahead of the Super Bowl features the top two teams in the AFC in a Week 11 rematch with Josh Allen and the Bills taking on Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in Kansas City.
Here’s what I’m looking at for a same-game parlay in the AFC Championship.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Same-Game Parlay
At least 180 passing and rushing yards 16 out of 17 games (94.1%), falling two yards short in the only miss (Week 15 vs. Cleveland), averaging 241.5 passing yards on 35.6 dropbacks and 18.9 rushing yards on 3.8 carries.
196 passing yards on 33 dropbacks against the Bills in Week 11.
177 passing yards on 25 dropbacks and 14 rushing yards on a season-high seven carries in the only playoff game.
At least 184 passing and rushing yards in 15 out of 18 (83.3%) full games, averaging 229.4 passing yards on 29.5 dropbacks and 33.2 rushing yards on 6.7 carries.
262 passing yards on a season-high 40 dropbacks and 55 rushing yards on a season-high 12 carries against the Chiefs in Week 11.
At least 4 receptions in 14 out of 17 games (82.4%), averaging 6.1 grabs on 8.4 targets for 56.8 yards.
At least 4 receptions in 10 out of 12 (90.92%) games with DeAndre Hopkins, averaging 6.9 grabs on 9.6 targets for 64.1 yards.
At least 4 receptions in 13 out of 14 (92.9%) games with Rashee Rice out or playing less than five snaps, averaging 6.9 grabs on 9.2 targets for 64 yards.
At least 5 receptions in all three games with Marquise Brown, averaging 6.7 receptions on 8.7 targets for 77 yards.
Seven catches on 8 targets for a season-high 117 yards in the only playoff game.
At least 28 rushing yards in 16 out of 18 games (88.9%), averaging 66.4 rushing yards on 13.7 carries.
At least 67 rushing yards in both playoff games, averaging 93.5 rushing yards on 20 carries.
Bills +17.5
The Bills are second overall in DVOA (+20.7%) and EPA per play (+0.175) on offense, averaging the sixth-most yards per play (5.96).
The Chiefs are eighth overall (+10.8%) in DVOA and 11th in EPA per play (+0.0.58) on offense, averaging the 23rd-most yards per play (5.11).
Buffalo is 15-4 including the playoffs and excluding Week 18, losing by more than a field goal just once, defeating Kansas City 30-21 in Week 11 of the regular season.