Bettings
article-picture
article-picture
NFL
Fantasy

NFL Splits Tool, Super Bowl: Situations to Monitor

Share
Contents
Close

The FTN Fantasy Splits Tool rolls along in the postseason, where I’ll be looking at how changes in environment and situations have impacted teams/players in the past, projecting their outlook in the playoffs. Most of the content will be centered around injuries, thanks to our new partnership with Dr. David Chao and Sports Injury Central. For those of you unfamiliar with the website, it’s a one-stop shop to keep fans, gamblers and fantasy players up to date on the latest injuries, covering all major sports such as the NFL, CFB, NBA and MLB.

 

SIC have a new feature – The Injury Edge – Your NFL Matchup Cheat Sheet.

It’s a tool for quickly seeing which teams have a health-based advantage each week using the proven SIC Health Score algorithm.
The SIC Health Score algorithm has seen teams with a 10+ health advantage win at over 58% Against The Spread over 4 NFL seasons!

FTN subscribers can get one free week of premium access to see all of The Injury Edge, plus all of the team and player health scores in SIC Data! Just go to sicscore.com/premium and select the weekly SIC Data subscription, then apply the promo code FTN.

San Francisco 49ers @ Kansas City Chiefs

49ers -2, O/U 47.5

49ers

The 49ers remained perfect at home in the playoffs under Kyle Shanahan, overcoming a 17-point deficit in the Conference Championships to defeat the Lions 34-31. The offense struggled early in the game but started hitting its stride in the second half, scoring 27 unanswered points. Brock Purdy’s efficiency has regressed in the postseason, completing just 61.43% of his passes on 70 dropbacks. However, he’s added a new element to his arsenal with his legs, averaging 31 rushing yards per game.

A screenshot of a computer

Description automatically generated

In the regular season, Purdy recorded double-digit rushing yards just four times in 16 games, eclipsing 20 yards on the ground once. As great as the Chiefs’ defense has been, it has been susceptible on the ground, ranked top five in DVOA against the pass (-7.2%, fifth), but 27th against the rush (-1.7%). They have allowed over 50 rushing yards to opposing signal callers in back-to-back games, after giving up the 10th-most rushing yards to quarterbacks in the regular season (20.1 rushing yards per game). Christian McCaffrey will obviously be the focal point of the rushing attack, but Deebo Samuel is also set up well on his handful of carries, showing no signs of rust or limitations by his shoulder.

The same cannot be said about George Kittle, who suffered a toe injury late in the game and opened the week as a DNP. Per the SIC player insight report, “By video, suffered apparent right toe injury during second half of NFC Championship round — injury mechanism did not appear severe and he remained in the game to block during final drive — no chance of missing Super Bowl LVIII.”

Chiefs

The Chiefs are back in the Super Bowl looking to defend their title, champions of the AFC for the fourth time in five seasons. They haven’t been nearly the same force on offense as in years past but have started to come alive in the playoffs, featuring their veterans. Travis Kelce has turned back the clock in the postseason, recording 5-plus receptions and over 70 yards in all three games, scoring three touchdowns in the last two weeks.