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The NFL MVP is the league’s top honor. Yearly players take home this award due to their individual play and their integral parts in their team’s success for that season. Quarterbacks have dominated this award in recent seasons, especially with the league’s affinity for passing (for good reason). This is not to say another skill player can’t take it down, but for that to happen in today’s NFL, many dominoes are going to have to fall precisely. Right now is the time to dive into NFL MVP props as the lines will continue to move with free agency and the NFL Draft. Head to our Prop Shop Tool and search any player by name to find their latest betting odds across numerous legal sportsbooks. 

Let’s discuss the player pool and who we’re putting our dinero behind in 2021.

All odds listed below are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

2021 NFL MVP Odds

Betting on the MVP Favorites

Without a doubt, there are two clear-cut favorites to win the 2021 NFL MVP. Here’s a look.

Patrick Mahomes MVP Odds

The former MVP (2018) finished third in 2020 in MVP voting. Mahomes (+500) is the favorite anytime he plays 15-16 games in a season. Any player that can log nearly 5,000 passing yards and 40 passing touchdowns on a team winning 12-14 games yearly can take home the league’s top honor. 

Aaron Rodgers MVP Odds

Rodgers (+800) ran away with the award this past season, crushing the competition by 40 votes (Rodgers 44, Josh Allen 4). Rodgers did so by setting a career-high in passing touchdowns (48) and completion percentage (70.7%). Those numbers would be incredibly difficult to replicate by any player not entering their age 38 season. Rodgers has proven at this point to never say never regarding him. 

2021 NFL MVP Contenders

Here is a look at some contenders to win the 2021 NFL MVP award.

Josh Allen MVP Odds

Josh Allen (+1300) returns with Brian Daboll, Stefon Diggs, and Cole Beasley all in tow. Allen took a massive leap in 2020, but that also lets the imagination still wonder what his true ceiling is. It’s possible we still haven’t seen it, and that’s scary. On a team that will again be loaded with weapons, Allen could improve his second place in the voting in 2020 and take it home. 

Russell Wilson MVP Odds

Russell Wilson (+1400) was on an MVP pace in the first half of 2020. Through his first eight games, Wilson was on pace for 5,082 passing yards and 56 passing touchdowns. Pete Carroll neutered the passing offense down the stretch, trouncing Wilson’s hopes. This upcoming season doesn’t look any rosier, but Wilson still has that type of upside in him. 

Deshaun Watson MVP Odds

Deshaun Watson (+1500) could be the prime player to get your exposure now. Watson’s odds for MVP could jump with a change of scenery. Watson on a winning squad is a threat to take home the honors. Last season Watson led the league in passing yards (4,823) and yards per attempt (8.9). Any team willing to fork over the capital to acquire him will not pigeonhole him into a game manager role.

Dak Prescott MVP Odds

Dak Prescott (+1500) was on a breakneck pace in his four full games played in 2020. Prescott was averaging 50.3 passing attempts per game, with the Cowboys leading the league in pace. Even toning down some of those numbers to a degree, Prescott still has the ceiling to put up MVP caliber numbers. 

Tom Brady MVP Odds

Tom Brady (+1600) doesn’t look to be slowing down anytime soon. In his first season in Tampa, Brady passed for his most yards since 2012 (4,633) and finished with the third-highest passing touchdown % (6.6) of his career. If Chris Godwin and Rob Gronkowski return, Brady could even surpass those marks in 2021. 

Lamar Jackson MVP Odds

Lamar Jackson’s (+1600) ability with his legs alone gives him the upside to log his second MVP season. If Jackson can rebound as a passer and Baltimore adds more firepower to the receiving depth chart, these odds could look laughable when looking back. 

Kyler Murray MVP Odds

Before Kyler Murray’s mid-season injury (+1600), he headed toward a 30 passing touchdown and 1,000 yard rushing season. The Cardinals are a team on the rise, and if Murray hits those marks in 2021 on an 11 win team, he’s got a legit shot. 

NFL MVP Longshot bets

A look at some longshot bets for NFL MVP in 2021.

Matthew Stafford MVP Odds

Matthew Stafford (+1600) played out of his mind in 2019 before dealing with injuries and a lame duck Lions team in 2020. Stafford plus Sean McVay could equal fireworks in 2021. 

Justin Herbert MVP Odds

Justin Herbert (+2200) finished his rookie season with the all-time rookie records in passing touchdowns (31), total touchdowns (36), completions (396), games with 300-plus passing yards (eight), and games with three-plus touchdowns (six). What do you do for an encore? Win an MVP in your second season?

Derrick Henry MVP Odds

Derrick Henry (+3300) just rushed for 2,027 yards and scored 17 total touchdowns and he didn’t get a sniff for the MVP honors. Henry replicating last season’s numbers will be tough and even if he is able to do so multiple quarterbacks are going to need to faceplant for him to have a chance. 

Christian McCaffrey MVP Odds

Christian McCaffrey (+3300) and Dalvin Cook (+6600) face uphill battles in the same manner as Henry because of their position. Over the last 20 years, only three running backs have taken home MVP honors. Adrian Peterson (2012), LaDainian Tomlinson (2006), and Shaun Alexander (2006) are the only runners to do so in that span. Those three running backs averaged 1,930 rushing yards, 2,198 total yards, and 24 total touchdowns in route to MVP status. Those numbers are difficult to attain in a now pass-first league, and like with Henry, multiple passers will have to falter to put them in contention. 

NFL MVP Winner History

A look at the winner of the NFL MVP from each season, dating back to 1957.

Year Position Player Team
2020 QB Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers
2019 QB Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens
2018 QB Patrick Mahomes Kansas City Chiefs
2017 QB Tom Brady New England Patriots
2016 QB Matt Ryan Atlanta Falcons
2015 QB Cam Newton Carolina Panthers
2014 QB Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers
2013 QB Peyton Manning Denver Broncos
2012 RB Adrian Peterson Minnesota Vikings
2011 QB Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers
2010 QB Tom Brady New England Patriots
2009 QB Peyton Manning Indianapolis Colts
2008 QB Peyton Manning Indianapolis Colts
2007 QB Tom Brady New England Patriots
2006 RB LaDainian Tomlinson San Diego Chargers
2005 RB Shaun Alexander Seattle Seahawks
2004 QB Peyton Manning Indianapolis Colts
2003 QB Steve McNair Tennessee Titans
2003 QB Peyton Manning Indianapolis Colts
2002 QB Rich Gannon Oakland Raiders
2001 QB Kurt Warner St. Louis Rams
2000 RB Marshall Faulk St. Louis Rams
1999 QB Kurt Warner St. Louis Rams
1998 RB Terrell Davis Denver Broncos
1997 RB Barry Sanders Detroit Lions
1997 QB Brett Favre Green Bay Packers
1996 QB Brett Favre Green Bay Packers
1995 QB Brett Favre Green Bay Packers
1994 QB Steve Young San Francisco 49ers
1993 RB Emmitt Smith Dallas Cowboys
1992 QB Steve Young San Francisco 49ers
1991 RB Thurman Thomas Buffalo Bills
1990 QB Joe Montana San Francisco 49ers
1989 QB Joe Montana San Francisco 49ers
1988 QB Boomer Esiason Cincinnati Bengals
1987 QB John Elway Denver Broncos
1986 LB Lawrence Taylor New York Giants
1985 RB Marcus Allen Los Angeles Raiders
1984 QB Dan Marino Miami Dolphins
1983 QB Joe Theismann Washington Redskins
1982 K Mark Moseley Washington Redskins
1981 QB Ken Anderson Cincinnati Bengals
1980 QB Brian Sipe Cleveland Browns
1979 RB Earl Campbell Houston Oilers
1978 QB Terry Bradshaw Pittsburgh Steelers
1977 RB Walter Payton Chicago Bears
1976 QB Bert Jones Baltimore Colts
1975 QB Fran Tarkenton Minnesota Vikings
1974 QB Ken Stabler Oakland Raiders
1973 RB O.J. Simpson Buffalo Bills
1972 RB Larry Brown Washington Redskins
1971 DT Alan Page Minnesota Vikings
1970 QB John Brodie San Francisco 49ers
1969 QB Roman Gabriel Los Angeles Rams
1968 QB Earl Morrall Baltimore Colts
1967 QB Johnny Unitas Baltimore Colts
1966 QB Bart Starr Green Bay Packers
1965 FB Jim Brown Cleveland Browns
1964 QB Johnny Unitas Baltimore Colts
1963 QB Y.A. Tittle New York Giants
1962 FB Jim Taylor Green Bay Packers
1961 HB Paul Hornung Green Bay Packers
1960 QB Norm Van Brocklin Philadelphia Eagles
1959 QB Johnny Unitas Baltimore Colts
1958 FB Jim Brown Cleveland Browns
1957 FB Jim Brown Cleveland Browns

NFL MVP Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the NFL MVP in 2020?

Aaron Rodgers was the regular season NFL MVP. 

Who is the youngest NFL MVP?

Lamar Jackson (2019) became the youngest NFL MVP at 23 years old. 

When is the NFL MVP announced?

The NFL MVP is announced during the first week in February following the Super Bowl. 

Has a rookie ever won the NFL MVP?

The league’s first MVP, Jim Brown in 1957, is the only player to take home the NFL MVP as a rookie.

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