We’re getting down to the wire. With four weeks left in the NFL regular season, my best entry in the Circa Millions contest is tied for 18th. At some point soon, I may need to choose lines that are just half points to hope to go 5-0 to shoot into the top five, where all the money is. However, we aren’t quite there yet, and I’m still just mainly choosing my favorite sides.
Here are a few that catch my eye this week:
Week 15 Circa Millions Picks
Chicago Bears +3.5
I’m seeing the neutral line at +3, so I’ll definitely take the free hook on the most important number. This Bears team really isn’t that bad when they have Justin Fields dealing at the helm, as we saw them destroy the Lions last week.
Baltimore Ravens -3
This is the strongest NFL team who no one wants to openly pound as having an extremely high chance of winning the Super Bowl. Our DVOA analysis loves the Ravens and thinks they should be closer to a 6.5 point favorite. I plan on betting some Ravens futures to win the Super Bowl as well, provided I can get +500 or better while I’m in Arizona for the FFWC.
Seattle Seahawks +3.5
In a battle of two teams that everyone thought would play a little better, I’m going with the home underdog. With Geno Smith back, the Seahawks should keep this close enough, and I think they’ll even win this game.