Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
We’re going to flip the script a bit and start with sells in this week’s edition of “Dynasty Moves to Make.” As a reminder, buying doesn’t mean getting a player for Tutu Atwell and a 10-pack of Top Ramen. Selling doesn’t mean you must rid your rosters of said player for 10 cents on the dollar. When players are improperly valued, take advantage.
Dynasty Moves to Make Now: Sells
Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys
My desire to move Dak Prescott isn’t due to an expectation of a significant dropoff in production. He’s coming off a career year, throwing over 35 touchdowns for the second time in three seasons, and had the best success rate under pressure per FTN Data. He has arguably the league’s best wide receiver, CeeDee Lamb, as his top weapon. He’ll be 31 going into the season and likely still has multiple productive years ahead of him. But his sell status is motivated by who you can get for him. He’s still young enough that age isn’t too much of a concern, and he is as consistent as they come. But I’m taking the opportunity to sell Dak at peak value and looking to acquire quarterbacks at the start of their prime versus toward the end of it. Dak’s value will never be higher.
Players I’d be willing to trade Prescott for 1 for 1: Kyler Murray, Trevor Lawrence, Tua Tagovailoa
Austin Ekeler, RB, Washington Commanders
This one hurts, but It’s time to move on from Austin Ekeler in fantasy football. He’s coming off one of his worst statistical seasons and lowest PPR points per game (13.2) since 2018, a year he only started three games. Rushing has never been his strong suit in fantasy, but he gained a career-low 3.5 yards per carry in 2023. Ekeler joins a Commanders offense with a capable running quarterback in rookie Jayden Daniels and an offseason drum beat for backfieldmate Brian Robinson Jr. getting more involved in the passing game. Ekeler is the rare NFL player who advocates fantasy football and is as likable as they come. But salvage what value you can from him before that nosedive takes it to zero.
Players I’d be willing to trade Ekeler for 1 for 1: Rhamondre Stevenson, Amari Cooper, Zamir White
Geno Smith, QB, Seattle Seahawks
As much as I love the Seahawks offense for 2024 and beyond with new offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb in town, I fear Smith’s Cinderella story is closer to the end than many want to admit. Smith took a significant step back in 2023, throwing over 300 yards in just four games with fewer games with multiple touchdowns (7) than ones with one or none (8). Even if he can hold off Sam Howell this season, Smith was brought in by the old regime, and the new one will likely want to hand-pick its own quarterback of the future. Smith turns 34 this October and will never reach the heights of his 2022 season again. He may not finish 2024 as a starter.
Players I’d be willing to trade Smith for 1 for 1: Derek Carr, Will Levis, Baker Mayfield
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