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Monday Night Football Betting Breakdown

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Week 3 comes to a close with a Monday Night Football showdown between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys.

This NFC East showdown features two teams who are expected to contend for the division crown. The Cowboys are considered the favorites at -130 on DraftKings Sportsbook, while the Eagles and Washington Football Team are tied for second at +350.

Who has the edge in this rivalry game? Let’s dive in.

 

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys Week 3 Odds 

Date/Time: September 27, 8:15 p.m. ET
Arena: AT&T Stadium
How to watch: ESPN/ABC
Opening odds: Cowboys -3.0 | O/U 52.0

Latest Eagles-Cowboys odds

Looking for the latest odds for this matchup? Here they are, with the best prices from DraftKings Sportsbook.

  • Cowboys -3.5
  • Total: 51.5

For up-to-date odds, check out DraftKings Sportsbook.

Opening odds – Eagles vs. Cowboys

This line has fluctuated all week. It opened with the Cowboys as three-point favorites, and they got as high as four-point favorites during the middle of the week. Since then, the line has moved back towards the Eagles, even getting back to three points at certain locations.

The betting activity on the spread has been split virtually down the middle. The Cowboys have a slight edge in terms of betting tickets (57%), but the dollars have been split 50-50.

If the sharps are seeing an edge in this contest, it appears to be with the under. The under has received just 33% of the tickets, but those tickets have accounted for 45% of the dollars. 

Quarterback analysis – Jalen Hurts vs. Dak Prescott

These two quarterbacks are actually pretty similar. Both players were excellent dual-threat players in college, but both players were overlooked in the NFL draft. The Eagles selected Hurts in the second round of the 2020 NFL Draft, while Prescott fell to the fourth round in 2016.

Jalen Hurts is the better pure athlete of the two. He blazed a 4.59 40-yard dash at the combine, which ranks in the 94th percentile at the quarterback position, per PlayerProfiler.

That said, he still needs to prove his credentials as a passer. He looked great in Week 1, racking up 264 yards with three touchdowns, but he couldn’t duplicate that success last week vs. the 49ers. His efficiency numbers were still solid — he averaged 8.26 adjusted yards per attempt — but he failed to crack 200 yards or throw for a touchdown.

Still, Hurts and the Eagles offense was better than the numbers indicate. They had one drive end with a blocked field goal, and another ended with a failed fourth-down attempt.

Dak Prescott is the more established passer. He put up some ridiculous numbers in Week 1 vs. the Buccaneers, but the Cowboys offense was much more balanced last week. Prescott’s counting stats were way down, but he did complete more than 85% of his passes vs. the Chargers.

Prescott has also racked up a solid against-the-spread record as the Cowboys starter. However, his record as a favorite is mediocre. He’s just 23-22-2 ATS when giving points, and his record drops to 16-19-1 when favored by less than a touchdown.

Latest Eagles betting news & info

The Eagles will be down two starting offensive linemen in this matchup. Brandon Brooks is out with a pectoral injury, while Jordan Mailata suffered a knee injury at Thursday’s practice.

The Eagles do have 2019 first-rounder Andre Dillard available to move into the starting lineup, but Dillard has not lived up to expectations. He reportedly had a horrible training camp, so him moving into the starting lineup is a potential disaster.

Rodney McLeod will also miss his third straight game to start the season.

Latest Cowboys betting news & info

Unfortunately for the Cowboys, they may not be able to exploit the Eagles’ weakness on the offensive line. They are down a host of pass rushers, including their best defensive player in Demarcus Lawrence.

The injuries don’t stop there. Michael Gallup remains on the IR, while La’el Collins is serving a suspension. Keanu Neal is also out after testing positive for COVID-19, while safety Donovan Wilson is doubtful.

Overall, the Eagles have a massive edge in this game from an injury standpoint.

Eagles vs. Cowboys betting picks – NFL Week 2

I am very interested in the Eagles in this contest, and I want to grab them at +3.5 while I still can. The difference between 3.0 and 3.5 is absolutely massive since the most common outcome in NFL games is a three-point deficit. If you can grab the Eagles at +3.5, you still cash your ticket if they lose by a field goal.

The Eagles stand out as an undervalued squad at the moment. Their offense limped to just 11 points last week, but they still managed to outgain the 49ers. They very easily could’ve put an additional 10 points on the board, so I’m hoping for some better scoring variance in this matchup. The Cowboys being down virtually every pass rusher on their roster should only help.

Taking the underdog in NFC East battles has also historically been a profitable decision, posting a record of 115-97-5 ATS since 2004.

FTNBets best bets

  • Eagles +3.5

For more information, betting picks and analysis, check out the FTN NFL Bet Tracker.

How to bet on this game

If you want to bet on this matchup and don’t already have a sportsbook account setup, check out FTNBets’ top sportsbooks page. You can see what shops are available in your state while also comparing lines, odds, promotions and bonuses to ensure you get the best value for your investment.

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