Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 8

The NFL season is heating up, as we’re nearly at midseason. As you’ll see across FTN, there will be numerous pieces of content, as well as our terrific statistical tools available to all subscribers. If you haven’t already joined our Discord, I certainly recommend doing so, as our experts generally find time throughout the week for open discussions, as well as to answer any questions you may have.

This article will cover a trio of my favorite first-look NFL bets for this week’s slate of games. All three plays will additionally be located in our Bet Tracker, but all the analysis surrounding each play can be found below.

Stefon Diggs Over 59.5 Receiving Yards

(-115, DraftKings Sportsbook)

We begin our Week 8 Gross Bombs with one of our favorite trends, though it won’t be our favorite receiver within the trend, as Nico Collins remains out. Instead, we’ll go with C.J. Stroud’s current top target in Stefon Diggs. Since Collins’ injury in Week 5, Diggs has seen a team high 22.4% target share, per the FTN StatsHub. That’s around a 2.5% increase from the rest of the season. I do want to note as well, that in the game Collins got injured against Buffalo, Diggs was not targeted during Houston’s three drives in which Collins was on the field, so all eight targets came afterwards. Diggs caught all six of his targets in Week 1 when the Texans and Colts met, but all those targets were underneath, with an aDOT of 1.5 yards, per the FTN StatsHub. In two plus games without Collins, Diggs’ aDOT sits at 9.8 yards, which leads the Texans. 59.5 yards looks quite a bit low.