First TD Bets — Wild Card Monday Slate
Alex Christenson
The NFL season is winding down, as we’re in the chick of the playoff push. As you’ll see across FTN, there will be numerous pieces of content, as well as our terrific statistical tools available to all subscribers. If you haven’t already joined our Discord server, I certainly recommend doing so, as our experts generally find time throughout the week for open discussions, as well as to answer any questions you may have.
This article will cover a trio of my favorite first-look NFL bets for this week’s slate of games. All three plays will additionally be located in our Bet Tracker, but all the analysis surrounding each play can be found below.
C.J. Stroud Over 248.5 Passing Yards
(-115, DraftKings Sportsbook)
I won’t spend too much time on this one, as this has become a common play over the last two seasons. What I do want to touch on is the Dolphins’ pass defense throughout the 2024 season. Over their first six games, notably when Tua Tagovailoa only played around 5.5 quarters, opposing quarterbacks averaged 164.8 passing yards per game. Among those opposing quarterbacks included Trevor Lawrence, Josh Allen, Geno Smith, Mason Rudolph, Jacoby Brissett and Anthony Richardson. Now, why would Tua’s status matter for opposing quarterbacks? Given that the Dolphins offense was sub-mediocre with Tagovailoa sidelined, rarely did we see opposing offenses in a negative gamescript or even in a competitive game.
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