Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
The NFL season is heating up, as we’re starting to hit the playoff push! As you’ll see across FTN, there will be numerous pieces of content, as well as our terrific statistical tools available to all subscribers. If you haven’t already joined our Discord, I certainly recommend doing so, as our experts generally find time throughout the week for open discussions, as well as to answer any questions you may have.
This article will cover a trio of my favorite first-look NFL bets for this week’s slate of games. All three plays will additionally be located in our Bet Tracker, but all the analysis surrounding each play can be found below.
Nico Collins Over 74.5 Receiving Yards
(-115, DraftKings Sportsbook)
We start with a Gross Bombs Hall of Fame candidate. If the Houston Texans play indoors and C.J. Stroud is the starting quarterback, you best believe I am going to be on the over for Nico Collins’ receiving yards. This week, he gets a Tennessee Titans secondary that actually projects well against air yards and deep pass success rate, per the FTN StatsHub. However, Collins has a 92.6 WR/CB Rating this week, matched up against Jarvis Brownlee Jr. As we know, Collins’ indoor/outdoor splits (along with Stroud’s) are quite drastic. While Collins went under his number last week, it is worth noting a debatable flag brought back what would have been a 70-plus-yard touchdown on the opening possession. With a game under his belt and having come out unscathed, look for Collins to bounce back in a big way against the Titans.
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