Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
The NFL season is heating up, as we’ve reached the midseason. As you’ll see across FTN, there will be numerous pieces of content, as well as our terrific statistical tools available to all subscribers. If you haven’t already joined our Discord, I certainly recommend doing so, as our experts generally find time throughout the week for open discussions, as well as to answer any questions you may have.
This article will cover a trio of my favorite first-look NFL bets for this week’s slate of games. All three plays will additionally be located in our Bet Tracker, but all the analysis surrounding each play can be found below.
C.J. Stroud Over 235.5 Passing Yards
(-101, Caesars)
This one should come as no surprise. The Texans are at home. They are underdogs. There is a 49-point total. Nico Collins is expected back, which would give Stroud his top target. We already know about Stroud’s indoor/outdoor splits, averaging 295.6 passing yards per game indoors and just 207 passing yards per game outdoors, per our Splits Tool. The Lions are additionally allowing just under 266 passing yards per game, fifth most in the NFL. That shouldn’t come as a surprise given their opponents have generally been in a negative game script. Stroud should be able to move the football regardless, especially if he gets Collins back and 235.5 passing yards does look a bit low, given his indoor/outdoor splits through his first 24 NFL games.
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