FTN NFL Model Best Bet: Week 12

Welcome to FTN’s NFL Model best bet. We use our incredible NFL data to find value in the betting markets. 

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We’re back with another FTN NFL Model best bet for Week 12. Taysom Hill had a massive game last week, as the Saints blew out the Browns in New Orleans. With that win, article bets move to 8-4 (+3.68x) on the season. 

Some people say life is too short to bet unders but here at FTN we follow the data. Our biggest Week 12 edge is in the Texans and Titans game. Our model has this staying under by about a touchdown, good enough for our biggest edge of the week at 12.93%. 

2024 DVOA:

Overall
Tennessee Titans: 29
Houston Texans: 11

Offense
Tennessee Titans: 28
Houston Texans: 24

Defense
Tennessee Titans: 11
Houston Texans: 3

Best Bet

Titans/Texans Under 42 (-110, DraftKings Sportsbook) 

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