FTN NFL Model Best Bet: Conference Championship Round

Welcome to FTN’s NFL Model best bet. We use our incredible NFL data to find value in the betting markets. 

Make sure to use our NFL Prop tool to find the largest edges in the prop market. Don’t leave money on the table and check FTN’s free Prop Shop Tool to make sure you’re betting the best number available.

We’re back in the green, thanks to Dallas Goedert easily hitting the over on his receiving prop. It looked like we were going to have a 2-0 week, but a late Rams score gave us a push on the Eagles -6. The FTN NFL Model article record is now 11-10-1 (+0.14x) for the season.

Instead of betting on a smaller edge on a side or total (simulations are still posted below) for Conference Championship weekend, let’s target a bigger edge in the prop market. The FTN Prop Tool currently shows 20 props with edges greater than 10%. As the Eagles host the Commanders on Sunday, our biggest edge is supporting Philadelphia’s QB, Jalen Hurts. With a line of 212.5 combined yards, the model shows a 21.52% edge on Hurts’ rushing + passing yards.

Best Bet

Jalen Hurts Over 212.5 Passing + Rushing Yards (-115, Caesars) 

FTN NFL Model

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