Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
MagicSportsGuy’s Bet
Isiah Pacheco, RB, Kansas City Chiefs
Over 785.5 Rushing Yards (1.00 Units)
(-115, Caesars)
Isiah Pacheco averaged 14 carries for 70 yards for the Chiefs after taking over as the RB1 in Week 10 last year. One reason Pacheco can excel again is the advantage of playing with the league’s best QB (Patrick Mahomes), in arguably the league’s best offensive system. That allows him to see very few (13%) stacked boxes (8 or more defenders in the box). He averaged 3.5 yards in those situations vs. 6 YPC against a light front (54% of carries). He needs 12 games at 70 yards to cover this spread. FTN Data projects him at 900 rushing yards on 200 carries.
