Early look at Week 3 spreads for the NFL

The first two weeks of NFL football was fun and profitable. We identified several key lines early last week and were able to bet as sharps. We’re looking to do the same for Week 3 NFL spreads.

After studying the lines and key trends from across the NFL, I’ve found four games with spreads that are simply too attractive to not jump on. We’ll have you covered throughout the 2021 NFL season with weekly spread picks as we look to profit all year long.

Week 3 NFL betting picks

Below are my three favorite Week 3 NFL spread lines along with a brief breakdown of why I’m leaning each direction. All odds are courtesy of our friends at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Washington Football Team at Buffalo Bills

Washington +9.5 (-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)

We’re looking at a large line on the heels of games that cause an overreaction. Washington squeaked by New York in Week 2, while Buffalo destroyed Miami. Without context, these outcomes have led to a bloated spread.

Washington played well against New York on short rest. Their defense is ferocious, and their offense showed more upside than many expected. This team will give Buffalo similar problems as Pittsburgh did in Week 1.

Buffalo has owned Miami over the last three seasons and knocking out quarterback Tua Tagovailoa early in Week 2 ensured they’d continue to haunt the Dolphins. Buffalo is a good but flawed team unless Josh Allen is at his very best, which he has not been this season. Washington should cover.

Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders

Dolphins +5.5 (-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)

The obvious statement is if Tagovailoa is healthy this game becomes more attractive to play. Without Tua, this is not a game I would play. Dolphins quarterback Jacoby Brissett was dreadful in relief duty last week against Buffalo.

Meanwhile, the Raiders were solid against Pittsburgh, but giving the Raiders this many points is giving Pittsburgh too much credit they don’t deserve. Miami is the better team if Tua is healthy. 

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Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers

Packers +4 (-110, DraftKings Sportsbook)

Even without seeing the result of Monday night’s game, this line is insane. San Francisco has beaten two of the least respected teams in the NFL. It’s only a matter of time until Green Bay figures out their Week 1 woes, and that may occur against Detroit Monday night. If it does, the Packers should become road favorites. 

That means we’re getting tremendous value by playing this line early. The Packers have a staunch defense capable of slowing San Francisco’s offense and their diminished playmaking. And on offense, the packers will figure their internal issues out sooner than later. 

San Francisco will struggle with more talented teams like Green Bay.