FTN NBA Betting Show: November 6th
Alex Christenson
Prop God
Dane Martinez
Team Profile
Buffalo Bills
8-2-0
1st
AFC East
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17.3% 4thOff DVOA
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40.9% 3rdPassing DVOA
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6.6% 7thRushing DVOA
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-6.5% 9thDef DVOA
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4.1% 14thDef Passing DVOA
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-20.5% 6thDef Rushing DVOA
2024 Team Stats
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Points For29.0 3rd
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Points Against19.3 9th
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Yards Per Game343.0 14th
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Yards Allowed Per Game339.0 18th
Ftn model pick
Projected Points
55.77%
Projected Points
44.34%
| Edge | Win % | Sportbook | |
|---|---|---|---|
Spread
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Moneyline
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Total
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Matchup Stats
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Starting lineup
Buffalo Bills
Matchup STATS
|
|
|
|
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|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Points Per Game
|
29.0
|
3
|
18.0
|
4
|
|
Yards Per Game
|
343.0
|
14
|
294.0
|
4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Passing Yards
|
2,227
|
8
|
1,893
|
15
|
|
Pass Yards per Attempt
|
7.4
|
9
|
6.5
|
14
|
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
17
|
6
|
13
|
15
|
|
Interceptions
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
19
|
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
8
|
9
|
|
11
|
|
Catchable Air Yards
|
|
17
|
|
8
|
|
Pass Rate
|
57.2%
|
20
|
64.5%
|
29
|
|
Explosive Pass Rate
|
10.9%
|
10
|
|
1
|
|
Man Coverage Rate
|
|
1
|
|
24
|
|
Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
32
|
|
9
|
|
Man Yards per Attempt
|
|
8
|
|
11
|
|
Zone Yards per Attempt
|
|
10
|
|
17
|
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Pressure Rate
|
|
6
|
|
7
|
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Time to Throw
|
|
16
|
|
19
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rushing Yards
|
1,207
|
13
|
749
|
3
|
|
Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
4.4
|
14
|
3.7
|
2
|
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
15
|
3
|
5
|
3
|
|
Fumbles
|
6
|
4
|
9
|
11
|
|
Rush Rate
|
42.8%
|
13
|
35.5%
|
4
|
|
Yards Before Contact
|
|
22
|
|
2
|
|
Yards After Contact
|
|
22
|
|
1
|
|
Missed Tackle Rate
|
|
25
|
|
3
|
|
Stuffed Run Rate
|
|
26
|
|
25
|
|
Explosive Run Rate
|
|
13
|
|
2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Points Per Game
|
24.4
|
12
|
19.3
|
9
|
|
Yards Per Game
|
349.0
|
10
|
339.0
|
18
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Passing Yards
|
2,107
|
13
|
2,161
|
22
|
|
Pass Yards per Attempt
|
6.8
|
16
|
6.4
|
11
|
|
Passing Touchdowns
|
12
|
12
|
13
|
15
|
|
Interceptions
|
9
|
22
|
11
|
5
|
|
Interception Worthy Throws
|
11
|
20
|
|
4
|
|
Catchable Air Yards
|
|
30
|
|
11
|
|
Pass Rate
|
58.1%
|
17
|
61.1%
|
24
|
|
Explosive Pass Rate
|
8.0%
|
21
|
|
2
|
|
Man Coverage Rate
|
|
30
|
|
4
|
|
Zone Coverage Rate
|
|
3
|
|
29
|
|
Man Yards per Attempt
|
|
13
|
|
5
|
|
Zone Yards per Attempt
|
|
16
|
|
8
|
|
Pressure Rate
|
|
17
|
|
20
|
|
Time to Throw
|
|
17
|
|
23
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Rushing Yards
|
1,036
|
24
|
1,232
|
18
|
|
Rushing Yards Per Attempt
|
3.8
|
29
|
4.9
|
29
|
|
Rushing Touchdowns
|
11
|
7
|
6
|
5
|
|
Fumbles
|
5
|
1
|
11
|
5
|
|
Rush Rate
|
41.9%
|
16
|
38.9%
|
9
|
|
Yards Before Contact
|
|
10
|
|
16
|
|
Yards After Contact
|
|
27
|
|
11
|
|
Missed Tackle Rate
|
|
32
|
|
12
|
|
Stuffed Run Rate
|
|
6
|
|
3
|
|
Explosive Run Rate
|
|
32
|
|
28
|
Player Projections
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
20.8
|
32.4
|
64.3
|
230.4
|
7.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
22.4
|
0.5
|
19.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15.9
|
57.3
|
3.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
2.3
|
18.7
|
0.1
|
11.6
|
|
|
5.7
|
20.2
|
3.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.7
|
10.3
|
-
|
4.4
|
|
1.4
|
5.8
|
4.2
|
-
|
0.0
|
0.9
|
10.6
|
0.1
|
2.4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.5
|
46.8
|
10.3
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
-
|
8.5
|
|
|
3.5
|
52.0
|
14.8
|
0.3
|
-
|
-
|
8.5
|
|
4.2
|
41.6
|
10.0
|
0.2
|
-
|
-
|
7.4
|
|
|
1.9
|
15.1
|
8.0
|
0.1
|
0.8
|
-
|
3.2
|
|
|
1.4
|
17.0
|
11.8
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.0
|
|
1.4
|
18.4
|
13.5
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
25.2
|
35.0
|
72.1
|
235.3
|
6.7
|
1.3
|
1.0
|
20.9
|
0.1
|
15.9
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
19.2
|
72.9
|
3.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
2.0
|
12.0
|
0.1
|
13.4
|
|
1.8
|
7.3
|
4.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
1.8
|
17.5
|
0.1
|
4.3
|
|
|
2.9
|
12.3
|
4.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
-
|
2.0
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.8
|
50.2
|
7.4
|
0.3
|
-
|
-
|
10.2
|
|
5.0
|
59.5
|
12.0
|
0.3
|
-
|
-
|
10.2
|
|
|
3.1
|
36.2
|
11.9
|
0.2
|
2.9
|
-
|
6.3
|
|
|
1.9
|
18.4
|
9.5
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.2
|
|
|
1.3
|
14.5
|
10.9
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
2.4
|
|
|
1.3
|
8.5
|
6.8
|
0.1
|
2.6
|
-
|
2.1
|
|
|
1.6
|
18.0
|
11.0
|
0.1
|
-
|
-
|
3.0
|
