Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
For many people, Friday is payday. That is why every Friday the guys at FTN Bets bring you their One-Play Payday on Tipico Sportsbook to help you stretch those dollars. The One-Play Payday this time is on the Utah Jazz at -1.5. The Jazz are scorching hot, winning 16 of their last 17 games dating back to a 13-point victory over the Bucks in Milwaukee Jan. 8. That began a run with them sandwiching 11 straight wins and a currently five-game winning streak around a loss to the Nuggets in Denver Jan. 31, which is the only blemish on their otherwise-stellar last month of action.
The Jazz currently are ranked in the top three for offensive and defensive efficiency per 100 possessions. Only four teams ranked in the top 10 in both categories last season, and they all made runs in the playoffs, including the Miami Heat. The Jazz have not only been winning games, they have been dominating their opponents. Fourteen of the 16 wins in their recent stretch have been by double-digits. They have beaten some of the top teams in both conferences as well along the way. The Jazz currently hold the league lead in point differential at +12.1.
This is one of the toughest opponents they can face and you have to respect Milwaukee’s resume. The Bucks have won five straight games too. They have done it with an average margin of victory over twenty points. The big chink in the armor is the road record. It hovers just above .500, but the makeup is what really gives me pause. The Bucks beat some of their weaker opponents on the road but have struggled against other top tier teams. They lost to the Celtics, Knicks and Heat to start the season. They do have victories over Denver and Toronto recently on the road, but have also lost to New Orleans, Charlotte, and Brooklyn. Milwaukee also is top 10 for both offensive and defensive efficiency and their recent explosion now has them behind only Utah in the Margin of victory category, although they are behind by a comfortable two points in that category.
Utah will be without Mike Conley, which is countered by the Bucks playing without Jrue Holiday. Guys like Joe Ingles, Jordan Clarkson, and Bojan Bogdanovic are capable of having big games from long range against this Milwaukee defense that gives up perimeter shots. Donovan Mitchell could too if his three ball is dropping. At the end of the day and the end of the long work week, the best way to take some money from Tipico Sportsbook with a One Play Payday is to lay the one and a half points with the Utah Jazz at home.
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