Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
SuperDraft is one of the hottest platforms in the market for DFS players. SuperDraft offers a unique twist on your traditional DFS experience with game modes like “Multiplier” and “Super 15.”
This daily article will focus on daily value plays from SuperDraft’s exclusive multiplier game mode. By eliminating the traditional salary cap structure and providing a points multiplier for every player on the slate, there is almost limitless flexibility when building lineups on SuperDraft. You can load up on all the studs, but their point multipliers will be low. You can balance those plays out with some long shots that could score up to 2x their fantasy points to vault you to the top of the leaderboards.
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With six games on Thursday’s slate, let’s get into some of the multiplier plays over on SuperDraft.
Guard
Chris Paul, Phoenix Suns (1.15x score multiplier) – Back-to-back articles with the future Hall of Fame point guard occupying this spot in the article. A lot of the reasoning here is the same as Tuesday, riding the scorching hot hand of CP3. The Suns have now extended their league-high winning streak to 11 games, their second double digit win streak of the season. To do so twice with about 40% of the season remaining is pretty incredible. But for our purposes tonight, Paul’s fantasy hot streak has spanned just the last eight games. Not an insignificant sample, Paul is averaging 1.42 SuperDraft points per minute and 53.7 SuperDraft points per game over that span while posting a 21.3% usage rate and 46% assist percentage. The Suns are four-point road favorites against the defensively inept Hawks, and I like getting back to Paul even at his highest multiplier of the season.
Tyrese Haliburton, Sacramento Kings (1.35x) – Contingent on De’Aaron Fox remaining out for Sacramento, Haliburton could be back in our lives as a fantastic tournament option. He’s been hit or miss from a fantasy perspective in the last six games that Fox has missed, but some of the disappointing performances have been negatively affected by the Kings getting blown out and the second-year guard losing time because of it. Over this six-game stretch, Haliburton has averaged 30.6 SuperDraft points per game in the three games he’s played 37 or less minutes and 53.1 SuperDraft points per game in the three games he’s exceeded 38 minutes. It’s too small of a sample to take as gospel, but it does show the upside that he possesses when the Kings can keep the game close. That may be an issue Thursday, as the Kings are currently 13.5-point road underdogs at the time of this writing. But with Haliburton’s big usage increase of 5.2% in the 10 total games Fox has missed on the season, I’m willing to take the plunge again on the Kings young star if Fox remains out. Terrance Davis also being out is another slight boost to Haliburton’s overall outlook and minutes security.
Forward
Anthony Davis, Los Angeles Lakers (1.05x) – The Brow has returned in a big way for the Lakers, both on the court and in our fantasy lineups. I will set aside the minutes limited game he played against the Nets in his first game back on Jan. 25 and instead focus on just the last three outings where he’s played full minutes. Over that short span, Davis has averaged 1.56 SuperDraft points per minute and 56.3 SuperDraft points per game. With LeBron James unlikely to play again, we should expect more of the same from Davis who gets a juicy matchup against the Clippers frontcourt here. The trio of Ivica Zubac, Serge Ibaka and Isaiah Hartenstein have little to no hope of slowing down Davis as long as he’s asserting himself, and we’ve seen him do just that in his return from the knee injury. His forward and center eligibility gives him some extra versatility in your lineups, and while I prefer to roster him at forward, with how the slate stands now I have no issue if you use your center spot on him.
Drew Eubanks, San Antonio Spurs (2x) – The Spurs will be without multiple frontcourt players, with Jakob Poeltl and Jock Landale both ruled out. The continued absences of Keita Bates-Diop and Zach Collins also keep this depth chart thin down low. Eubanks has never been a guy that coach Gregg Popovich runs out there for massive minutes even in shorthanded situations. In 146 career appearances, Eubanks has exceeded 24 minutes and 36 seconds of court time (with a high of 27:34) just twice, neither of which came this season. Thad Young could re-enter the rotation, along with a potential G-League call up of Devontae Cacok, which would put a slight damper on Eubanks’ upside. I still expect Eubanks to get 23-24 minutes in that scenario against the sizeable Miami frontcourt and he’s a player that I have my eye on as a value on Thursday’s SuperDraft slate given his combo of 2x multiplier and forward/center eligibility.
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Center
Karl-Anthony Towns, Minnesota Timberwolves (1.1x) – Another fantasy hot streak we will attempt to ride on this slate is Towns, who gets a very palatable matchup against a weak Detroit interior. The Wolves, believe it or not, are in contention for not just a play-in spot, but a top six seed in the Western Conference. They’ve been taking the court without D’Angelo Russell for the last three games, but Towns, while certainly aided by Russell’s absence, has been producing at an elite rate over his last five games. In that span he’s averaged 55.6 SuperDraft points per game and 1.68 SuperDraft points per minute. According to our FTN Daily advanced DVP tool, the Pistons rank in the bottom third of the league against many of Towns’ traits, including skilled center, superstar and scorer. Over his last three meetings with Detroit, Towns has averaged 25 points, 9 rebounds, 6 assists, 1.3 steals and 1.3 blocks per game. If you aren’t going to roster Anthony Davis at center, Towns should be in there. At the time of this writing, I’m very drawn to the idea of using Davis at forward and pairing him with Towns at center.
