Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
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As either Zac Graham or I will continue to do all throughout the NBA season, I will provide you with my three favorite options on SuperDraft DFS for the slate at hand. In this case, we have 11 games on tap Friday.
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Nickeil Alexander-Walker, New Orleans Pelicans (vs. DEN)
Score multiplier: 1.75x
The status of numerous Pelicans remains up in the air, as both Jonas Valanciunas and Brandon Ingram are questionable. If both (more important, if Ingram) happens to sit out, a massive boost would go the way of Nickeil Alexander-Walker. Despite the return of Devonte’ Graham, Alexander-Walker could jump into the starting lineup after going 11-22 from the field last game with 31 raw points. If Ingram is ruled in, it makes it hard to justify Alexander-Walker on such a large slate, but if he’s out, he becomes an elite value piece with a 1.75x multiplier for a player with a history of taking advantage of any boost in volume that he gets.
CJ McCollum, Portland Trail Blazers (@ HOU)
Score multiplier: 1.3x
Death, taxes and playing CJ McCollum when Damian Lillard is out. It’s a system play and I’m going right back to the well on Friday, even in a potential blowout if the Rockets lose Kevin Porter and Christian Wood. Sporting a 27.49% usage rate this season in games with Lillard and a 33.51% usage rate in four games without Lillard last season, McCollum becomes a true offensive alpha with the point guard sidelined. Against a Rockets team that ranks 21st or worse against all four of his player archetypes — primary ball handler (29th), scorer (29th), crafty finisher (24th), shooter (21st) — per aDvP, McCollum is arguably the best mid-tier option on the SuperDraft slate.
Bismack Biyombo, Phoenix Suns (vs. MIN)
Score multiplier: 1.7x
With both Deandre Ayton and JaVale McGee ruled out for the second consecutive game, Bismack Biyombo will presumably draw his second start of the season. A revelation since joining the Suns, Biyombo has averaged 17.7 points and 12.0 rebounds per 36 minutes this season, both career highs, while adding 2.3 blocks and 1.9 assists per-36-minutes. Against a Wolves team that will require the Suns to utilize Biyombo’s size, he’s a great bet for 30-plus minutes and at 1.7x, is my top overall value play on the slate.
