NBA Best Bets of the Day (12/26)

NBA prop betting has been one of my most successful and favorite things to do in the betting world over the last couple years. Over that timeframe, I have created, developed and continuously improved an NBA betting model that projects out each player’s stat line thanks to advanced data and several thousand simulated games. 

I use these projections and compare them against the lines across the different Sportsbooks to determine the best bets of the day.

Let’s get to it. 

Collin Sexton o10.5 points 

(-125, DraftKings)

This line immediately jumped out when comparing my projections to some lines at sportsbooks. Collin Sexton is averaging 17 points a game over his last 10 games and has gone over this number in each of his last nine contests and 75% of games this season. Not to mention, it is an elite matchup against the Spurs, who are 30th in points allowed per game, allow the highest FG% and 3PT% to opposing guards this season. Additionally, the Spurs are 30th in DEF and eighth in pace. My model projects Sexton for 17 points. 

Kyrie Irving o3.5 rebounds 

(-135, DraftKings)

Another number that instantly stood out. Kyrie Irving has 5+ rebounds in seven of his last eight games and projects for nearly five here. Irving is averaging over 5.6 rebounds per game over his last 10 games and seven rebounds per game over his last five contests. 

Tyrese Haliburton o19.5 points 

(-125, DraftKings)

Tyrese Haliburton is establishing himself as one of the best point guards in the NBA, and he continues to carry this Indiana team. Halliburton has 20+ points in six of his last nine games and is averaging 27.4 points over his last five contests.