Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
NBA prop betting has been one of my most successful and favorite things to do in the betting world over the last couple years. Over that timeframe, I have created, developed and continuously improved an NBA betting model that projects out each player’s stat line thanks to advanced data and several thousand simulated games.
I use these projections and compare them against the lines across the different Sportsbooks to determine the best bets of the day.
Let’s get to it.
Top Points Prop
Anfernee Simons Over 24.5 Points
(-125, DraftKings Sportsbook)
Anfernee Simons failed for me last time I wrote him up, but he scored 16 points in the final 17 minutes of the game, that alone demonstrates his upside with Damian Lillard out.
Top Assists Prop
Shake Milton Over 5.5 Assists
(+115, DraftKings Sportsbook)
Shake Milton is benefitting from quite a few absences from this 76ers team, not only with minutes but also usage and opportunity, and that should continue once again here.
Top Rebounds Prop
Anthony Davis Over 11.5 Rebounds
(-122, FanDuel Sportsbook)
My model has Anthony Davis for over 13 rebounds Friday, and with the way he is playing, it is hard to view that as anything other than his floor. He has five straight games with 14-plus rebounds, 18-plus rebounds in three of his last four. He is dominating for this Lakers team and that should continue here against the Spurs.
