Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
NBA prop betting has been one of my most successful and favorite things to do in the betting world over the last couple years. Over that timeframe, I have created, developed and continuously improved an NBA betting model that projects out each player’s stat line thanks to advanced data and several thousand simulated games.
I use these projections and compare them against the lines across the different Sportsbooks to determine the best bets of the day.
Let’s get to it.
Jalen Brunson o31.5 Points + Assists
(DraftKings, -110)
Jalen Brunson has been on a tear lately, and despite the tougher matchup here against Toronto, my model still likes Brunson to continue his strong play. Brunson has 26+ points in six straight games and has 32 or more points + assists in six of his last eight.
Desmond Bane o4.5 rebounds
(-125, DraftKings)
We are going right back to Desmond Bane and his rebounds prop, as I did in the last article. Bane has now gone over this number in six of his last seven games and has begun to see more minutes after returning from a toe injury.
LeBron James o7.5 Assists
(-105, DraftKings)
LeBron James has 9+ assists in three of his last four games and four of his last six and now gets a great matchup here against Houston. I also find the triple-double number to be interesting here at +850. LeBron played 35 minutes last night, so he might even be up for a rest game here, but the Lakers need to win games.
