![author-image](https://ftnfantasy.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Screen_Shot_2024-04-30_at_3.05.05_PM-removebg-preview.png)
NBA prop betting has been one of my most successful and favorite things to do in the betting world over the last couple years. Over that timeframe, I have created, developed and continuously improved an NBA betting model that projects out each player’s stat line thanks to advanced data and several thousand simulated games.
I use these projections and compare them against the lines across the different Sportsbooks to determine the best bets of the day.
Let’s get to it.
Jalen Brunson o31.5 Points + Assists
(DraftKings, -110)
Jalen Brunson has been on a tear lately, and despite the tougher matchup here against Toronto, my model still likes Brunson to continue his strong play. Brunson has 26+ points in six straight games and has 32 or more points + assists in six of his last eight.
Desmond Bane o4.5 rebounds
(-125, DraftKings)
We are going right back to Desmond Bane and his rebounds prop, as I did in the last article. Bane has now gone over this number in six of his last seven games and has begun to see more minutes after returning from a toe injury.
LeBron James o7.5 Assists
(-105, DraftKings)
LeBron James has 9+ assists in three of his last four games and four of his last six and now gets a great matchup here against Houston. I also find the triple-double number to be interesting here at +850. LeBron played 35 minutes last night, so he might even be up for a rest game here, but the Lakers need to win games.