Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Always itching for action, Brad Evans scours the ‘books for a seducing wager whether NFL, NBA, MLB, Chinese ping pong, whatever. Come back daily to see where he’s blowing his bankroll. Fade or follow? That, of course, is entirely up to you.
NBA Prop Bet of the Day
Kyrie Irving OVER 5.5 rebounds vs. Boston (+120, BetMGM)
Though this gambler banked four of the last five wagers, the gallery remains unruly. Surely obnoxious, drunken readers will soon hurl water bottles in my general direction. It’s understandable. The overall -EV output continues to be a point of contention. The above prop, however, could push us closer to the black. Kyrie’s rebound prop sports the appearance of a watermelon on a twig. The fruit is crazy low. Against Boston he’s cruised past the total in all four games, snagging 6, 6, 6 and 11 boards. The Celtics ranked No. 3 in opponent defensive rebounding percentage during the regular season, but the absence of Jaylen Brown and others has left an indelible mark. Over the last five games, the Celts are the eighth-best matchup for a rebounder according to the FTN Daily Advanced DvP tool. Tailing the trends, Kyrie is in position to cash.
Units risked: 1.00
Column record: 21-25 (-1.57 units)
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