Best NBA Bets Today – Thursday, February 27, 2025

Here are the best NBA bets today for Thursday, Feb. 27, 2025. FTN is home to the tools, research, models, data, and experts you need to become a smarter sports bettor.

Here are FTN’s best NBA bets for today. To see more picks from our team, check out our bet tracker.

NBA Best Bets Today (Feb. 27, 2025)

Franz Wagner Over 3.5 Assists

-154, DraftKings

Bet by Sam Choudhury

• At least 4 assists in 28 out of 40 (70%) games, averaging 4.0 assists on 9.6 potential assists.
• At least 4 assists in 12 out of 17 (70.6%) games at home, averaging 4.6 assists on 8.1 potential assists.
• At least 4 assists in 27 out of 38 (71.1%) games with Kentavious-Caldwell Pope, averaging 4.8 assists on 9.2 potential assists.
• At least 4 assists in 28 out of 39 (71.8%) games playing 12-plus minutes, averaging 5.0 assists on 9.7 potential assists.
• At least 4 assists in 27 out of 37 (73%) games playing 12-plus minutes with Caldwell-Pope.
• At least 4 assists in 12 out of 16 (75%) games playing 12-plus minutes at home.
• At least 5 assists in two out of three (66.7%) career games against Golden State without Jalen Suggs (out), averaging 4.7 assists on 8.3 potential assists.
• Five assists on 10 potential assists in the only career game against Golden State with Caldwell-Pope earlier this month (Feb. 3).

Brook Lopez 10+ Points, 3+ Rebounds & 15+ Points + Rebounds

-145, DraftKings

Bet by Sam Choudhury

10+ Points

• At least 10 points in 39 out of 57 (68.4%) games, including each of the last four, averaging 12.5 points on 9.7 shots and 13.4 points on 10.3 shots at home.
• At least 11 points in seven out of eight (87.5%) games with Kyle Kuzma, including each of the last four, averaging 14.6 points on 10.1 shots.
• At least 11 points in five out of six (83.3%) games with Kevin Porter Jr., including each of the last five, averaging 14.3 points on 8.7 shots and 15.0 points on 9.7 shots at home. 
• At least 10 points in nine out of 10 (90%) games without Bobby Portis, including each of the last five, averaging 15.3 points on 11.3 shots.
• At least 12 points in all four games with Jericho Sims, averaging 17.3 points on 10.8 shots, and 19.5 points on 12.5 shots at home.
• At least 15 points in all four games without Portis at home, averaging 20.8 points on 14.3 shots.
• At least 13 points in two out of three career games against Denver versus Nikola Jokic, scoring nine points on nine shots in the only miss (Feb. 12), averaging 13.7 points on 10.3 shots.

3+ Rebounds

• At least 3 rebounds in 49 out of 57 (86%) games, including each of the last seven, averaging 5.0 rebounds on 9.8 chances.
• At least 3 rebounds points in 25 out of 29 (86.2%) games at home, averaging 5.2 rebounds on 10.8 chances.
• At least 3 rebounds in nine out of 10 (90%) games without Portis, including each of the last four, averaging 5.6 rebounds on 11.9 chances.
• At least 4 rebounds in all six games with Porter, averaging 6.5 rebounds on 11.7 chances
• At least 4 rebounds in all four games with Sims, averaging 7.0 rebounds on 12.0 chances.
• Four rebounds on 11 chances in the only career game against Denver, with Milwaukee and without Portis (Jan. 25, 2023).
• Five rebounds on nine chances in the last game against Denver earlier this month (Feb. 12).

15+ Points + Rebounds

• At least 15 points and rebounds 38 out of 57 (66.7%) games, including each of the last five, averaging 17.5 points and rebounds per game, and 18.6 points and rebounds at home.
• At least 16 points and rebounds eight out of 10 (80%) games without Portis, including each of the last five, averaging 20.9 points and rebounds per game.
• At least 18 points and rebounds five out of six (83.3%) games with Porter, including each of the last five, averaging 22.5 points and rebounds per game.
• At least 18 points and rebounds seven out of eight (87.5%) games with Kuzma, including each of the last five, averaging 20.8 points and rebounds per game.
• At least 20 points and rebounds in all four games with Sims, averaging 24.3 points and rebounds per game and 25.0 points and rebounds at home.
• At least 17 points and rebounds in all four games without Portis at home, averaging 26.0 points and rebounds per game.
• At least 15 points and rebounds in two out of three career games against Denver versus Nikola Jokić, recording 14 points and rebounds in the only miss (Feb. 12th), averaging 16.7 points and rebounds per game.

Zion Williamson Under 5.5 Assists

-154, DraftKings

Bet by Sam Choudhury

• Five or fewer assists in 15 out of 21 (71.4%) games, averaging 4.7 assists on 9.3 potential assists.
• Five or fewer assists in 11 out of 15 (73.3%) games without Brandon Ingram (traded), averaging 4.5 assists on 9.9 potential assists.
• Five or fewer assists in 15 out of 20 (75%) games with Yves Missi, averaging 4.7 assists on 9.2 potential assists.
• Five or fewer assists in 15 out of 20 (75%) games with Jordan Hawkins, averaging 4.6 assists on 9.3 potential assists.
• Five or fewer assists in 12 out of 15 (80%) games without Dejounte Murray (out), averaging 4.5 assists on 8.7 potential assists.
• Five or fewer assists in 11 out of 15 (84.6%) games without Ingram and with Hawkins and Missi, averaging 4.2 assists on 9.8 potential assists.
• Five or fewer assists in 11 out of 13 (84.6%) games on the road, including each of the last seven, averaging 4.2 assists on 9.2 potential assists.
• Five or fewer assists in eight out of nine (88.9%) games without Murray and with Trey Murphy III, averaging 4.0 assists on 9.3 potential assists.
• Five or fewer assists in all six games without Murray and with Murphy on the road, averaging 3.8 assists on 9.3 potential assists.
• Five or fewer assists in four out of six (66.7%) career games against Phoenix, averaging 4.8 assists on 11.3 potential assists.
• Four or fewer assists in both career games against Phoenix without Herbert Jones (out), averaging 3.5 assists on 12.0 potential assists.

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