Best NBA Bets Today – Monday, March 3, 2025

Here are the best NBA bets today for Monday, March 3, 2025. FTN is home to the tools, research, models, data, and experts you need to become a smarter sports bettor.

Here are FTN’s best NBA bets for today. To see more picks from our team, check out our bet tracker.

NBA Best Bets Today (March 3, 2025)

Deni Avdija 4+ Assists

-145, Fanatics

Bet by Sam Choudhury

• At least 4 assists in 29 out of 57 (50.9%) games.
• At least 4 assists in 28 out of 53 (52.8%) games with Anfernee Simons.
• At least 4 assists in 24 out of 45 (53.3%) games with Donovan Clingan.
• At least 4 assists in 27 out of 49 (55.1%) games with Scoot Henderson.
• At least 4 assists in 23 out of 39 (59%) games with Henderson, Clingan and Simons.
• At least 4 assists in 12 out of 19 (63.2%) games without Deandre Ayton (out).
• At least 4 assists in 18 out of 27 (66.7%) games playing more than 28 minutes, including each of the last four, averaging 4.7 assists per game.
• At least 4 assists in nine out of 13 (69.2%) games without Jerami Grant (Q).
• At least 4 assists in 16 out of 22 (72.7%) games playing more than 28 minutes with Henderson and Simons, including each of the last five, averaging 4.8 assists per game. 
• At least 4 assists in 10 out of 12 (83.3%) games with Simmons and Henderson and without Ayton, averaging 4.9 assists per game.
• At least 4 assists in all six games playing more than 28 minutes with Simmons and Henderson and without Ayton, averaging 6.2 assists per game.
• At least 5 assists in both games with Simon’s and without Ayton and Grant, averaging 7.5 assists per game.
• At least 5 assists in three out of the last four (75%) games against Philadelphia without Ayton, recording three assists in the only miss (Dec. 11, 2023), averaging 5.5 assists on 4.4 potential assists.
• At least 5 assists in both career games playing more than 28 minutes against Philadelphia without Ayton and Grant, averaging 7.5 assists per game.

Ausar Thompson Over 2.5 Assists

-125, Bet365

Bet by Sam Choudhury

• At least 4 assists in one out of two (50%) games without Tobias Harris (out).
• At least 3 assists in 15 out of 28 (53.6%) games without Jaden Ivey (out).
• At least 3 assists in 12 out of 20 (60%) games playing more than 20 minutes without Ivey.
• At least 4 assists in four out of five (80%) games with Lindy Waters III, recording two assists on eight potential assists in the only miss (Feb. 26), averaging 3.6 assists on 5.8 potential assists.
• At least 3 assists in seven out of eight (87.5%) games with Dennis Schröder, recording two assists on eight potential assists in the only miss (Feb. 26th), averaging 4.0 assists on 5.6 potential assists.
• At least 4 assists in both games with Waters on the road, averaging 4.0 assists on 4.5 potential assists.
• Four assists on eight potential assists in the only game without Harris on the road (Nov. 27), despite playing alongside Ivey.
• At least 3 assists in all seven games playing 18-plus minutes with Schröder, averaging 4.3 assists on 5.9 potential assists and 5.0 assists on 5.7 potential assists on the road (three games).
• At least 3 assists in all six games playing 18-plus minutes with Schröder, averaging 4.5 assists per game.
• Four assists on five potential assists in the only career game against Utah without Ivey and/or with either one of Malik Beasley and/or Tim Hardaway Jr. in the last meeting (Dec. 19).
• The Jazz allow the sixth-most assists to opposing small forwards.

Jalen Williams Over 4.5 Assists

-136, FanDuel

Bet by Sam Choudhury

• At least 5 assists in 36 out of 58 (62%) games averaging 5.2 assists per game.
• At least 5 assists in 32 out of 51 (62.7%) games with Cason Wallace.
• At least 5 assists in 25 out of 39 (64%) games with Isiah Hartenstein, averaging 5.3 assists per game.
• At least 5 assists in 15 out of 23 (65.2%) games with Ajay Mitchell (out), averaging 5.3 assists per game.
• At least 5 assists in 28 out of 41 (68.3%) games without Chet Holmgren (Q). 
• At least 5 assists in 11 out of 16 (68.8%) games without Holmgren and Mitchell.
• At least 5 assists in 26 out of 37 (70.3%) games without Holmgren and with Wallace.
• At least 5 assists in 12 out of 17 (70.6%) games with Wallace and without Mitchell, averaging 5.6 assists per game.
• At least 5 assists in nine out of 13 (76.9%) games with Wallace and without Mitchell and Holmgren, averaging 5.4 assists per game.
• At least 5 assists in five out of six (80%) games without Isaiah Joe (out), averaging 5.7 assists per game.
• At least five assists in all three games without Joe and with Hartenstein, averaging 6.7 assists per game.
• At least 5 assists in five out of the last six (83.3%) games against Houston, averaging 6.0 assists on 8.7 potential assists.
• At least 5 assists in both career games against Houston with Hartenstein and/or without Holmgren, averaging 6.0 assists on 9.5 potential assists.

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