Best NBA Bets Today – Friday, March 21, 2025

Here are the best NBA bets today for Friday, March 21, 2025. FTN is home to the tools, research, models, data, and experts you need to become a smarter sports bettor.

Here are FTN’s best NBA bets for today. To see more picks from our team, check out our bet tracker.

NBA Best Bets Today (March 21, 2025)

Kristaps Porziņģis Over 4.5 First Quarter Points 

-130, Bet365

• At least 5 first quarter points in 25 out of 34 (73.5%) games, averaging 6.4 points on 4.3 shots.
• At least 5 first quarter points in 17 out of 23 (73.9%) games without Xavier Tillman (OUT), averaging 6.6 points on 4.5 shots.
• At least 5 first quarter points in 22 out of 27 (81.4%) games with Al Horford, averaging 6.6 points on 4.4 shots.
• At least 5 first quarter points in 20 out of 24 (83.3%) games with Horford and Sam Hauser, averaging 6.9 points on 4.4 shots.
• At least 5 first quarter points in 20 out of 23 (83.3%) games with Horford and Jayson Tatum, averaging 6.8 points on 4.6 shots and 6.9 points on 4.9 shots on the road.
• At least 5 first quarter points in 18 out of 21 (85.7%) games with Horford, Tatum and Hauser, averaging 7.2 points on 4.7 shots.
• At least 5 first quarter points in 15 out of 17 (88.2%) games with Horford, Tatum and Hauser, and without Tillman, including each of the last four, averaging 7.3 points on 4.9 shots.
• At least 5 first quarter points in all three career games against Utah, averaging 7.3 points on 5.3 shots.
• The Jazz allow the fifth-most points to opposing centers.

Kevin Durant Over 22.5 Points 

-120, Hard Rock

• At least 23 points in 42 out of 57 (73.7%) games, averaging 26.4 points on 18.0 shots.
• At least 23 points in 42 out of 57 (75.9%) games at home, averaging 27.2 points on 19.0 shots.
• 26 points on 15 shots in the first and only game without Mason Plumlee (OUT) on Wednesday.
• At least 23 points in each of the last 10 games against Cleveland, averaging 26.9 points on 18.9 shots.
• At least 23 points in all three career games against Cleveland with Phoenix, averaging 30.7 points on 21.7 shots.
• The Cavaliers allow the 11th-most points to opposing small forwards.

Evan Mobley 15+ Points & 7+ Rebounds 

-145, Bet365

15+ Points

• At least 15 points in 46 out of 61 (75.4%) games, including each of the last four, averaging 18.8 points on 12.7 shots and 19.5 points on 12.8 shots on the road.
• At least 15 points in 45 out of 57 (78.9%) games playing 20-plus minutes, including each of the last four, averaging 19.4 points on 13.0 shots and 20.5 points on 13.4 shots on the road.
• At least 15 points in 27 out of 34 (79.4%) games with Max Strus, including each of the last four.
• At least 15 points in 27 out of 33 (81.8%) games playing more than 18 minutes with Strus, including each of the last four.
• At least 16 points in 13 out of 15 (86.7%) games with De’Andre Hunter, including each of the last four, averaging 19.4 points on 13.3 shots.
• 20 points on 13 shots in the only career game against Phoenix with Strus (April 3rd, 2024).

7+ Rebounds

• At least 7 rebounds in 49 out of 61 (80.3%) games, averaging 9.2 rebounds on 15.5 chances.
• At least 7 rebounds in 28 out of 34 (82.4%) games with Strus, averaging 9.4 rebounds on 15.5 chances.
• At least 7 rebounds in 48 out of 57 (84.2%) games playing 20-plus minutes, averaging 9.6 rebounds on 16.0 chances.
• At least 7 rebounds in 28 out of 33 (84.8%) games playing more than 18 minutes with Strus.
• At least 7 rebounds in 24 out of 28 (85.7%) games playing more than 18 minutes on the road.
• At least 7 rebounds in 14 out of 15 (93.3%) games with Hunter, averaging 10.1 rebounds on 16.1 chances.
• At least 8 rebounds in all three career games against Phoenix with Donovan Mitchell, averaging 8.3 rebounds on 13.0 chances.
• Nine rebounds on 13 chances in the only career game against Phoenix with Strus (April 3, 2024).