Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Welcome to my DFS breakdown for UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade. Below you’ll find a breakdown of my highest exposures, giving context to why they project so well. Look for final cheat sheet exposures late Friday or early Saturday.
Alexander Romanov
Not much to say here. This is one of the biggest mismatches the UFC could book. Romanov gets this done in the first round more often than not, unless he just decides to play with his food.
Tyson Pedro
Been away for a while but gets an absolute gift of a matchup. Pedro shows seven first-round finishes on his record and now gets a dream matchup against Ike Villanueva, who is easy to put away early. Pedro simply has Villanueva outclassed everywhere.
Preston Parsons
Parsons is absolutely committed to a grappling-heavy gameplan, which we love for DraftKings. His opponent, Evan Elder, is making his UFC debut and honestly hasn’t really impressed me despite facing pretty mediocre competition. Parsons’ wrestling provides a nice floor/ceiling combo with an affordable price tag.
Jessica Andrade
if she can survive the early onslaught from Amanda Lemos, Andrade is capable of racking up multiple takedowns en route to a finish inside the distance. She has already seen the line shift her way pretty substantial, which highlights the difference in resume between the two women.
Jordan Wright/Marc-Andre Barriault
This is probably my favorite fight to get exposure to outside of the main event. Wright notoriously comes out at an insane pace to force huge exchanges early, as all of his fights have ended within the first two rounds. Barriault is the more well-rounded fighter, but Wright’s style brings a lot of variance to the table.
Montana De La Rosa
A wrestler who has really shown improvement in her most recent fight. Her opponent, Maycee Barber, is the more physical and athletic fighter of the two, but she has shown that her TD defense does have holes in it. Montana’s grapple heavy approach makes her an intriguing underdog play, and we have already seen the moneyline move about 20 points in her direction.
I’ll be posting my final exposures to once finalized and will be around in Discord to answer questions as well.
