Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
We are back for another exciting weekend of combat sports for UFC Vegas 41 in Las Vegas. There are a couple spots that I feel good about in the props market but be sure to check out the rest of the FTN crew’s bets FTN Bets Tracker in case we add anything prior to fight night.
As always, I will give the bets that I have placed below based on where I see the most value in the betting odds and how I see each fight matchup playing out. Feel free to hit me up on Twitter or in the MMA betting Discord with any questions that you have leading up until fight night Saturday. Here is a look at my favorite betting props for this weekend’s UFC Vegas 41 betting card.
Jai Herbert vs. Khama Worthy Fight Does Not Start Round 2
+180, FanDuel Sportsbook
This line is off market to begin with. On top of that, both fighters have some serious durability issues as Worthy has been knocked out seven times in his career and his last four losses have all been first-round knockout. Herbert is no pillar of durability either. He has only been knocked out twice but has been rocked many times and both guys like to stand and bang. There is a pretty strong chance someone drops in the first big exchange and this number does not reflect that.
Tabatha Ricci to Win by Submission
+260, FanDuel Sportsbook
I wanted to bet this at the opener of +380, which was wild, but someone beat me to it. However, I am still showing enough value at the current line as Ricci is going to be levels better than her opponent especially when the fight hits the mat. Her opponent has been submitted twice on the regional scene and has yet to face someone as high level as Ricci in terms of the grappling. I am expecting this to be some easy work for Baby Shark.
Jeff Molina vs. Daniel Lacerda Under 2.5 Rounds
+122, FanDuel Sportsbook
This is a violence play based on the matchup. I think we are getting a favorable because flyweights historically do not finish at a very high rate, but this matchup is different. For starters, Lacerda is making his UFC debut on short notice and has only been to the second round once in his 12-fight professional career. On the flip side, Molina has had back-to-back decision victories but prior to that he was known as a finisher and has good boxing and cardio. If Lacerda comes out aggressively as I expect him to, he is liable to hit his win condition of an early finish but if he doesn’t then he is likely to gas out and Molina should find a finish later on in the fight.
