Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
We are back for another exciting weekend of combat sports for UFC Vegas 32 in Las Vegas. This card is extremely fun for a non-PPV fight night. We have a few prospects facing each other and get to cap the night off with a strong main event in Cory Sandhagen vs. T.J. Dillashaw. There are a couple spots that I feel good about in the props market but be sure to check out the rest of the FTN crew’s bets FTN Bets Tracker in case we add anything prior to fight night.
As always, I will give the bets that I have placed below based on where I see the most value in the betting odds and how I see each fight matchup playing out. Feel free to hit me up on Twitter or in the MMA betting Discord with any questions that you have leading up until fight night on Saturday. Here is a look at my favorite betting props for this weekend’s UFC 264 betting card.
Cory Sandhagen to win by KO/TKO +160
I know a lot of people are on the underdog this week in Dillashaw, and in theory I get the play, and I would not suggest betting Sandhagen’s moneyline. However, I do see Sandhagen winning by knockout as the most likely outcome in this fight. Dillashaw is confident enough in his striking where I do not think he will aggressively wrestle right off the bat as a priority, and he needs to. Sandhagen is the best striker in the division and has many weapons he can use to hurt Dillashaw. Lastly, Dillashaw has been knocked out twice in his career and rocked multiple times in each of his last four fights. If this fight stays standing, Sandhagen is going to drop him at some point.
Maycee Barber to win by KO/TKO +500
I bet Barber as an underdog this week but also think her knockout prop has some value. Five of her eight career wins have come by knockout which includes all three of her UFC wins. She is easily the most powerful and most physical fighter that Miranda Maverick has faced. Maverick likely needs to proactively wrestle and I am not convinced that she will or even that she can against the stronger Barber. If this fight plays out on the feet for extended periods, Barber has a good chance to land a fight changing blow.
Randy Costa to win by KO/TKO in Round 1 +950
I picked Adrian Yanez to win this fight and still favor him to do so, but this line is just plain terrible. I would personally give Costa double the chance to hit this then the current line suggests. All six of Costa’s career wins have come by first-round knockout. That is his only path to victory as he has cardio issues, he is a liability grappling and does not play much defense. The positive thing is that he is extremely dangerous for the first few minutes and typically sells out to find a finish on the feet. Regardless of how it plays out this will always be a great bet at these odds.
