Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
We are back for another exciting weekend of combat sports for UFC Vegas 29 in Las Vegas. This card is packed with action and I have my eye on some good spots this week that I am excited to see how it all plays out.
There are a couple spots that I feel good about in the props market but be sure to check out the rest of the FTN crew’s bets FTN Bets Tracker in case we add anything prior to fight night. As always, I will give the bets that I have placed below based on where I see the most value in the betting odds and how I see each fight matchup playing out.
Feel free to hit me up on Twitter or in the MMA betting Discord with any questions that you have leading up until fight night Saturday.
Wellington Turman to win by Submission +550
Turman is a well-rounded prospect with a good gas tank and will aggressively look to get the fight to the mat when he has a grappling advantage like he does here. He holds a black belt in BJJ and is facing a knockout or bust fighter in Bruno Silva who is a liability on the mat and coming off a three-year layoff for juicing. I bet Turman on the moneyline as well, but this is a good number for the sub prop and too good to pass.
Joaquim Silva vs. Rick Glenn Under 2.5 Rounds +188
Glenn has been more of a decision guy in his last few fights, but these are different circumstances. He is coming off a long layoff and hip surgery in 2019 and moving up a weight class. Additionally, he is facing a kill-or-be-killed style of fighter in Joaquim Silva who is very aggressive and has legitimate power on the feet. It is tough to know what Glenn will look like, but I am betting it is not the same of old and Silva has poor cardio and can be finished as well if Glenn does look the part.
Nicolae Negumereanu to win by Submission +850
Negumereanu is facing Aleksa Camur, who was recently manhandled by William Knight on the ground. Additionally, Camur is still very inexperienced and is mostly a name because he trains with Stipe Miocic which means basically nothing in terms of value. He is a liability in the wrestling and grappling department and Negumereanu is an aggressive Gracie BJJ blue belt who will look to get the fight to the ground. This line is way off.
