Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
We are back for another exciting weekend of combat sports for UFC 268 in Madison Square Garden. This card is absolutely stacked, and we cap things off with two title fights on the PPV. There are a couple spots that I feel good about in the props market but be sure to check out the rest of the FTN crew’s bets FTN Bets Tracker in case we add anything prior to fight night.
As always, I will give the bets that I have placed below based on where I see the most value in the betting odds and how I see each fight matchup playing out. Feel free to hit me up on Twitter or in the MMA betting Discord with any questions that you have leading up until fight night Saturday.
Bobby Green to Win by Decision
(-115, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Green is one of the toughest fighters to out strike in this division. He is going to have a clear striking advantage against Al Iaquinta, who is likely to get boxed up for 15 minutes. Iaquinta is coming off a two-year layoff and did not look great the last time we saw him anyway. Green is the better minute winner and has the ability to land takedowns as well if he mixes in the wrestling. This fight is -350 to hit the scorecards so this prop is basically a no-brainer at this number.
Ode Osbourne vs. Carlos Vergara Fight Does NOT Start Round 2
(+230, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Osbourne is typically an under machine. His last eight fights have ended inside the first round, and his opponent is a punching bag on the feet but also has power with his last five wins coming by knockout. This number should not be +200 or higher as I am expecting an early finish at a much higher clip than the current line suggests.
Justin Gaethje to Win by KO/TKO
(+100, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Nearly all of Gaethje’s win condition comes from a knockout in this matchup. He is not winning by submission, and I would be shocked to see this fight hit the judges scorecards. I expect both guys to stand and bang until someone drops, and I favor Gaethje’s ability significantly as the more diverse striker with more knockout power. Michael Chandler has been knocked out four times in his career and this number is already (-110) elsewhere in the market, so I am expecting it to move before Saturday night.
