The One Hitter: MLB game-by-game betting breakdown (8/19)

Each day, we are going to try and give you a quick preview of today’s main slate and any interesting betting angles that we spot. Take a look.

All betting lines and information are from the FanDuel Sportsbook.

Marlins (+190), Reds (-230)
Total: 8.5 runs
Zach Thompson (R) vs. Luis Castillo (R)

The Reds are as hot as an August Midwest summer, scorching the ball to a .382 wOBA and .251 ISO in the last week.
The Marlins stink – they have a .312 wOBA and a 24.9% whiff rate in the last month.
After seemingly turning things around, Luis Castillo has been tagged for a 9.90 ERA in the last month.

Best bets: I think this Reds team is going to make things interesting down the stretch. Bet on them in a big way.

Twins (+220), Yankees (-270)
Total: 10.5 runs
John Gant (R) vs. Jameson Taillon (R)

The Yankees need to wake up at the plate – their .163 ISO and 24.6% whiff rate is ugly.
John Gant, traded in the J.A. Happ deal, has to control the free passes – a 15.2% walk rate is pretty ugly.
Jameson Taillon has a 1.80 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in his last 30 innings.

Best bets: This feels like another lopsided affair. Take a look at the OVER and some Yankee homer props.

Brewers (-210), Cardinals (+176)
Total: 8.0 runs
Brandon Woodruff (R) vs. Jon Lester (L)

Milwaukee has been improving at the plate recently – their strikeout rate in the last month is under 20%.
The mega arms just keep rolling out for the Brewers – this time, it’s Brandon Woodruff going for the sweep.
The Cardinals have a 23.4% strikeout rate and a .180 ISO in the last month.

Best bets: I think you stack a same-game parlay here – Jon Lester is terrible, and Woodruff is outstanding.

Mets (+150), Dodgers (-178)
Total: 9.5 runs
Taijuan Walker (R) vs. Evan Phillips (R)

The Dodgers keep rolling – they’ve posted a .186 ISO and .326 wOBA mark over that same time frame.
This Mets drop off has been FAST – they are now in third place of the NL East.
Does Taijuan Walker need a break? He’s recorded a 6.26 ERA in the last month.

Best bets: The Mets are falling, and hard. Take the Dodgers in a F3/F5 bet.

Find the best prices for your favorite props each day here with the FTN Prop Shop.

Looking for free betting tools to help you win? Try the FTN Parlay Calculator and FTN Prop Shop.

Matt Kupferle