Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Wednesday’s MLB slate has 15 games, which means there are plenty of props to choose from. I found four props that are mispriced on PrizePicks Wednesday so you can take advantage. But move fast — PrizePicks lines move with the action.
Let’s dive into the MLB board and let’s look at props on PrizePicks with value. Be sure to use PrizePicks promo code FTN for a $100 deposit match.
MLB PrizePicks Wednesday 6/22
Mark Canha Over 0.5 Total Bases
Mark Canha has a .291 average this season and a .381 OPS. Canha had a hit Tuesday night and has reached base in four of his last six games. Canha has a .344 average on balls in play, so if he makes solid contact, the ball normally lands for a hit. Canha hits the ball over all the yard, meaning the Astros cannot shift for him, so I expect Canha to go over 0.5 total bases Wednesday.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Over 0.5 runs/RBIs
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is one of the brightest young players in baseball, and I expect him to drive in or score a run Wednesday against the Rockies. Chisholm has a .241 batting average but a .313 on-base percentage. He has 11 steals this season to go along with 36 runs and 42 RBIs. If Chisholm can get on first, he is a threat to steal and be in scoring position. He is 21st in the MLB in RBIs, so if the Marlins’ offense can get to Chad Kuhl like I believe they can, Chisholm should certainly knock in a run or score a run.
WAS/BAL Over 0.5 Runs in First Inning
These two teams have anemic offenses but also bad pitchers going. Patrick Corbin has a 6.59 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP. Tyler Wells has a 3.62 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. There were only three runs scored between these teams Tuesday and one came in the first inning. The Orioles have the worst first-inning offense in baseball, but Corbin has also been a run-allowing machine this year. The Nationals have a .741 OPS in the first inning against a subpar pitcher, so I expect one of these teams to cross home plate in the first.
LAA/KC Under 0.5 Runs in First Inning
Shohei Ohtani was masterful in his last start and now gets to face the Royals, who have one of the worst offenses in the league. Kansas City has a team OPS of .714 in the first inning of games this season and a .674 OPS on the road. The Angels’ offense has been anemic in June, with a team OPS of .609. I expect Ohtani to shut down the Royals in the first, and I anticipate Daniel Lynch leaving the first inning unscathed as well.
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Find More MLB Player Props on PrizePicks
Player props have become one of the hottest markets in baseball, and PrizePicks offers the perfect balance for daily fantasy players to get in on the MLB player prop action for real money.
Users can select up to five props to combine into a parlay and users can select whether they want the selection to be a “power play” or a “flex play.”
A “power play” means all selections in the PrizePicks pick need to hit and there is a multiplier for the number of events involved. Here’s the “power play” breakdown:
- Pick 2, and if you get them both right, you win 3x your entry fee
- Pick 3, and if you get them all right win 5x your entry fee
- Pick 4, and if you get them all right win 10x your entry fee
Here’s the “flex play” breakdown:
- Pick 5 players: Go 5-of-5 to win 10x, go 4-of-5 to win 2x, or go 3-of-5 to win 0.4x
- Pick 4 players: Go 4-of-4 to win 5x, go 3-of-4 to win 1.5x
- Pick 3 players: Go 3-of-3 to win 2.25x, go 2-of-3 to win 1.25x
- Pick 2 players: Go 2-of-2 to win 2x, go 1-of-2 to win 0.5x
In MLB, PrizePicks offers props like NRFI/YRFI, fantasy score, hits/RBIs, strikeouts, pitching outs, and more. This wide variety of different prop markets makes PrizePicks exciting and also exploitable.
Keep in mind that PrizePicks is not like a traditional sportsbook that has different pricing for each prop. On PrizePicks, the line you see is the line you get, and you must parlay at least two picks to lock in your fantasy plays.
