Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Welcome to the PrizePicks Play of the Day. If you are new to PrizePicks, it is a simple game where you choose the over or under on multiple picks (between 2 and 5). Different payouts are available depending on the style of the play and how many picks you to do in each play. You can do a “power play,” where each pick needs to be correct in order for the play to win, or you can do a “flex play,” giving yourself some flexibility and still having the opportunity to make money if one of the picks in your play miss.
If you are a new user, get off to a great start by using code ‘FTN’ to get a 100% match up to $100. For example, if you deposit $50, PrizePicks will give you a free $50. Can’t beat that. Now, let’s get to the picks for Thursday.
MLB PrizePicks Plays Thursday 7/21
Jon Gray Over 6.5 K’s
Jon Gray has been dominant as of late, striking out 7 or more hitters in each of his last four starts and in six of his last nine starts. He now gets a matchup against Miami, who has a projected starting lineup with seven hitters who are striking out 21% of the time or more against RHPs this season.
Pablo López Over 5 K’s
I love this line for Pablo López as I think it may be a full strikeout too low. He has a 25% K% and a 29% CSW% on the season, and while the Rangers are heating up a bit, they are still the eight-most strikeout-friendly team against RHPs so far this season.
Javier Báez Over 6.5 Fantasy Points
Keep in mind this pick is for the first game of the DET/OAK doubleheader where Zach Logue will be on the mound for the A’s. Logue has struggled mightily against RHHs this year, allowing a .378 wOBA and a .270 ISO while striking out just 17% of hitters but walking 9%. So far this season against LHPs, Javier Báez has a .254 ISO and a .342 OBP.
The Official Card
- Javier Báez o6.5 Fantasy Points
- Pablo López o5 K’s
- Jon Gray o6.5 K’s
Check out FTN Daily’s free PrizePicks Pick Tracker
We offer a free PrizePicks Pick Tracker so you can see what the analysts at FTN are playing each day.
Find More MLB Player Props on PrizePicks
Player props have become one of the hottest markets in baseball, and PrizePicks offers the perfect balance for daily fantasy players to get in on the MLB player prop action for real money.
Users can select up to five props to combine into a parlay and users can select whether they want the selection to be a “power play” or a “flex play.”
A “power play” means all selections in the PrizePicks pick need to hit and there is a multiplier for the number of events involved. Here’s the “power play” breakdown:
- Pick 2, and if you get them both right, you win 3x your entry fee
- Pick 3, and if you get them all right win 5x your entry fee
- Pick 4, and if you get them all right win 10x your entry fee
Here’s the “flex play” breakdown:
- Pick 5 players: Go 5-of-5 to win 10x, go 4-of-5 to win 2x, or go 3-of-5 to win 0.4x
- Pick 4 players: Go 4-of-4 to win 5x, go 3-of-4 to win 1.5x
- Pick 3 players: Go 3-of-3 to win 2.25x, go 2-of-3 to win 1.25x
- Pick 2 players: Go 2-of-2 to win 2x, go 1-of-2 to win 0.5x
In MLB, PrizePicks offers props like NRFI/YRFI, fantasy score, hits/RBIs, strikeouts, pitching outs, and more. This wide variety of different prop markets makes PrizePicks exciting and also exploitable.
Keep in mind that PrizePicks is not like a traditional sportsbook that has different pricing for each prop. On PrizePicks, the line you see is the line you get, and you must parlay at least two picks to lock in your fantasy plays.
