MLB Best Bets – Free (Wednesday 7/24)
Josh Gross
Welcome to the prop bet tracker. As MLB season gets into high gear, another way to get in on the action is to analyze the day’s best prop bets – from strikeouts to home runs, first to five runs to total bases logged.
Each day, we will try and identify a few picks that are ready to explode in the prop market.
Steven Matz Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-133, DraftKings)
Matz has been absolutely brutal the last three times out. Awful. While I still believe in his growth potential, but this is a bad matchup against the Astros — and it's an offense that strikes out the least in baseball by a very wide margin (19.2%).
José Berríos Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-110, BetMGM)
After we saw Matt Shoemaker hit the over even with a rain delay, I'm doubling down here and betting Berríos smashes the over on this one. He's been a bit up-and-down with his whiffs, but this Tigers team has too many people flailing at the plate (30.3% strikeout rate). Keep pounding.
Austin Riley to Hit a Home Run (+450, DraftKings)
With Vince Velasquez sticking in the rotation, I love to take a shot at a home run bet on a guy like Riley. The right-hander for the Phillies, albeit in a small sample size, has been absolutely bombed by right-handed batters this season — like a .757 slugging percentage this season, with five of the 11 hits allowed being the long ball. If you want another Brave here, I won't quibble.
