Prime-Time Props — Thursday Night Football, Week 1
Prop God
Welcome to the prop bet tracker. As MLB season gets into high gear, another way to get in on the action is to analyze the day’s best prop bets – from strikeouts to home runs, first to five runs to total bases logged.
Each day, we will try and identify a few picks that are ready to explode in the prop market.
Sandy Alcantara Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+138, FanDuel)
The super-talented Miami Marlins pitching staff has hit a few bumpy steps lately, but that doesn't mean we should be shying away from any and all matchups. Peep the greatness of former-Cardinal-turned-Marlin Sandy Alcantara. He faces a Phillies team that has a 27.2% strikeout rate, and his 29.5% called plus swinging-strike rate is among the league's best. I love pounding the over here.
Jesús Aguilar to Hit a Home Run (+450, William Hill)
Unless you have been living under a rock, you know that Aguilar has been one of the league's best hitters — he owns a .525 slugging percentage this season, and he's actually been smashing same-sided right-handed pitchers for a 148 wRC+. Interesting, Vince Velasquez, Thursday’s starting pitcher for the Phillies, has been hit similarly hard by righties — they've popped him for a 37.8% hard-hit rate on the year. With a strong breeze flying out, I like Aguilar to pop one.
