Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Welcome to the prop bet tracker. As MLB season gets into high gear, another way to get in on the action is to analyze the day’s best prop bets – from strikeouts to home runs, first to five runs to total bases logged.
Each day, we will try to identify a few picks that are ready to explode in the prop market.
Twins-Mariners Over 8.5 Runs (-104, DraftKings)
Over the last 14 days, while they haven't won a ton of games, the Twins have been one of the league's best offensive attacks, clocking in seventh in team wOBA (.342), and are straight obliterating the baseball with a .242 ISO mark. The downside for Twins fans and UNDER bettors is that J.A. Happ has stunk recently — over his last six starts, he's been torched for a 9.64 ERA, including a whopping 2.57 HR/9.
Shohei Ohtani To Hit a Home Run (+350, William Hill)
This dude is flat-out just a freak to watch, and man is he fun. He is striking out 30% of hitters, and he may rip off an Eric Davis type of season as he's on pace for 40 jacks and 20 steals. Tuesday? He takes aim at Frankie Montas, who's allowed 1.66 HR/9 since the beginning of the 2020 season.
Dallas Keuchel Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+106, FanDuel)
Yes, I am aware that this dude strikes out like no one. But this is where this gets a little spicy — the Rays are whiffing at just a ridiculously egregious clip against lefties (27.9%), and Keuchel leaned on a slider in his last outing with impressive strikeout results.
