Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Welcome to the prop bet tracker. As MLB season gets into high gear, another way to get in on the action is to analyze the day’s best prop bets – from strikeouts to home runs, first to five runs to total bases logged.
Each day, we will try to identify a few picks that are ready to explode in the prop market.
Nelson Cruz, DH, Tampa Bay Rays
To hit a home run (+305, PointsBet)
This could be another money bet. Eduardo Rodríguez has struggled with a 5.53 ERA this season, and Nelson Cruz has pounded lefties this year. On the season, he’s logged a .210 ISO and 154 WRC+ in this split. The implied team for the Rays is over 4.5 runs, and I think Nelly is a big part of an offensive explosion here.
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Alex Wood, SP, San Francisco Giants
Over 5.5 strikeouts (-105, BetMGM)
This feels like nearly free money – there’s a lot of reasons to be bullish here. Let’s take out any of the superlatives of Alex Wood. The Diamondbacks have truly been bad at the plate this season, recording a 30.3% strikeout rate and second-worst team WOBA mark in the league. Woof. And Wood is good – he’s racked up a 25.1% strikeout rate in the year. Dial him in.
