Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
Welcome to the prop bet tracker. As MLB season gets into high gear, another way to get in on the action is to analyzes the day’s best prop bets – from strikeouts to home runs, first to five runs to total bases logged.
Each day, we will try and identify a few picks that are ready to explode in the prop market.
Marcus Stroman Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+120, DraftKings)
As long as Juan Soto remains out, this is a Washington Nationals offense we should look to attack. It’s probably not fair using Jacob deGrom as a comparison (truly the most dominant arm of this generation), but he did record 15 strikeouts Friday. The day before against crappy Carlos Martínez of the Cardinals, they managed a single run, and the day before, they whiffed 11 times. These seems like a very nice play for Stroman and crew.
Michael Pineda Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+117, BetRivers)
I’m not sure if many people have noticed, but Pineda has quietly been a very solid member of the Twins rotation so far in 2021. Peep this – he’s racked up nearly a K per inning, and the groundball specialist has a whip of 0.72 this season. That’ll do, donkey. Today, he attacks a Ke'Bryan Hayes-less Pittsburgh offense that has a woeful .294 team wOBA mark and a 24.7% strikeout rate. Gimme.
Matthew Boyd Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-154, DraftKings)
After an opening day start where Boyd only recorded two strikeouts, a surprisingly low number, the southpaw has been pretty darn good ever since. He’s pitched deep into games (six innings or more in the last three starts), and he’s recorded back-to-back strikeout efforts of five and seven, respectively. Kansas City will show some resistance with a 21.9% strikeout rate, but I do think he gets the over here.
