MLB Best Bets – Free (Friday 9/27)

We have reached the final weekend of regular season MLB baseball. The playoffs are scheduled to start Tuesday. Before we get there, let’s get into a huge three-game set in the NL West between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Bases

The San Diego Padres have the best record in baseball since the All-Star break at 41-19. Most of that was done without star right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Since his return, Tatis has a .315 AVG, 6 HR, .342 ISO and 1.014 OPS against RHP.

Tatis has reached at least two total bases in 14 of his last 20 games, and he’s reached at least three and in five of his last seven against Arizona. Tatis has a great history against Diamondbacks RHP Merrill Kelly. In 25 career plate appearances against Kelly, Tatis has a .364 AVG, .950 SLG and 4 HR.

Below, I’ll give a breakdown of Tatis against Kelly’s pitch mix against right-handed hitters:

Fernando Tatis Jr. vs. Merrill Kelly Pitch Mix To RHB

• Cutter — .364 AVG, 1 HR, .727 SLG
• Sinker — .267 AVG, 4 HR, .453 SLG
• Fastball — .350 AVG, 8 HR, .800 SLG
• Slider — .365 AVG, 4 HR, .698 SLG

Best Bets

Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-115, FanDuel Sportsbook), 1U
Fernando Tatis Jr. 4+ Total Bases (+300, FanDuel Sportsbook), 0.5U