Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
We have a pivotal Game 4 in the ALCS Friday night, as the New York Yankees are in Cleveland to take on the Guardians. The Yankees lead the series 2-1, but the Guardians aim to tie things up.
Let’s take a look at my favorite bet from this game.
Aaron Judge Total Bases
Judge’s start to this postseason was pedestrian, but he’s come alive at the plate over the last two games. Judge has hit a home run in two straight games and recorded a hit in three of his last four. He’s played well in Clevland recently, recording at least two bases in four consecutive games and eight of his last 12 on the road against the Guardians. Judge is also familiar with Gavin Williams, entering 1-2 against him with a home run.
Judge dominated right-handed pitching this entire season and seems to have found his stride at the plate in the postseason. Although the Yankees lead in this series, Friday’s game is critical for the pinstripes. I expect Judge to get going early in an excellent matchup for him at the plate.
Aaron Judge vs. RHP in 2024:
- .326 AVG
- 1.132 OPS
- 42 HR / 106 RBIs
Aaron Judge vs. Gavin Williams Pitch Mix To RHB:
- Fastball — .384 AVG, 12 HR, .777 SLG
- Slider — .268 AVG, 5 HR, .500 SLG
- Cutter — .343 AVG, 3 HR, .686 SLG
- Curveball — .238 AVG, 1 HR, .476 SLG
Best Bets
- Aaron Judge over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-115, DraftKings Sportsbook), 1U
- Aaron Judge over 1.5 Total Bases (+135, Bet365), 1U
- Aaron Judge 4+ Total Bases (+260, Bet365), 0.40U
