Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Always itching for action, Brad Evans scours the ‘books for a seducing wager whether NFL, NBA, MLB, Chinese ping pong, whatever. Come back daily to see where he’s blowing his bankroll. Fade or follow? That, of course, is entirely up to you.
MLB Prop Bet of the Day
Walker Buehler UNDER 7.5 strikeouts vs. San Diego (-161, BetMGM)
Quite possibly the only person to possess the power to single-handedly extinguish the sizzling hand of Stephen Curry, this real-life cooler is sure to motivate Buehler to break L.A.’s shared franchise record (Sandy Koufax and Ramon Martinez) for most strikeouts (18) in a single game. The evidence, however, suggests Ks could be few and far between. Showcasing a career 10.13 K/9, the 26-year-old righty hasn’t missed bats with his usual high volume lately. In each of his last three turns, he registered four strikeouts, including in a six-inning outing against San Diego April 16. Oddly, his average fastball velocity is down 1.8 mph, which is a reasonable explanation for the decline in his swinging strike percentage and overall whiff rate. Buehler recently admitted his heater speed is a work in progress. Eventually, he’ll again consistently hit 97-98 mph. However, based on the recent trend and knowing the Padres own the second-lowest K percentage in the Bigs (20.7%), another suboptimal performance is likely.
Units risked: 1.61
Column record: 4-5 (-1.24 units)
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